Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Club Milano		Vado

	1	X	2
	4.66	3.3	1.73
	4.75	3.4	1.7	Watch
	4.75	3	1.7
	5	3.3	1.67
	4.5	3.33	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.4)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Milano
19.1%

Draw
27.7%

Vado
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27.2%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

26.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Milano than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Club Milano - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,
53', 0 - 2, ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, ⚽,
80', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Club Milano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vado is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Vado is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Club Milano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Club Milano - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 20.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Vado - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Milano
Italian Serie D - Group A
08.02.26	Club Milano - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Varese - Club Milano	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Club Milano - Saluzzo	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
21.01.26	Pistoiese - Club Milano	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Imperia - Club Milano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
08.02.26	Vado - Saluzzo	5:0 ✺
01.02.26	Imperia - Vado	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Vado - Celle Varazze	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Derthona - Vado	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Vado - Asti	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
12.10.25	Vado - Club Milano	2:0

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