Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Vado		Celle Varazze

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5.3
	1.58	3.75	5.18	Watch
	1.54	3.7	5.48
	1.6	3.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	3.66 ↑ (3.65)	5.32 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
58.1%

Draw
24.8%

Celle Varazze
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Celle Varazze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celle Varazze than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Vado - Celle Varazze Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Vado (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vado (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Vado is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Celle Varazze is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Vado is the team to beat.

We predict that Vado will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Celle Varazze	6	0	0	6	1:13	-12	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Derthona - Vado	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Vado - Asti	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Unione Sanremo - Vado	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Biellese - Vado	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Vado - NovaRomentin	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLWW
- Celle Varazze
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Celle Varazze - Gozzano	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Club Milano - Celle Varazze	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Celle Varazze - Ligorna	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Celle Varazze - Imperia	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Sestri Levante - Celle Varazze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
24.09.25	Celle Varazze - Vado	0:1

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