Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Coalville Town		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.55
	2.25	3.6	2.8
	2.27	3.61	2.81
	2.24	3.75	2.8
	2.2	3.75	2.5
	2.21	3.62	2.83
	2.34	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.68)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	2.69 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coalville Town
40.7%

Draw
25.3%

Boston United
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coalville Town's performance.

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boston United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coalville Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boston United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coalville Town - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Coalville is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Boston United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coalville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.11.23	Coalville Town - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
07.11.23	Coalville Town - St Ives Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.23	Long Eaton United - Coalville Town	0:6 ✺
21.10.23	Coalville Town - Berkhamsted	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW
- Boston United
English National League North
14.11.23	Peterborough Sports - Boston United	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Boston United - Hereford	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Farsley - Boston United	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Spennymoor Town - Boston United	0:0 ✺
31.10.23	Boston United - Scunthorpe United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLTT

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