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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Chile 47.8%
Draw 27.7%
Coquimbo Unido 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54%
25.8%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
25.2%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad de Chile's form might have worsened.
Coquimbo Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Chile, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Universidad de Chile - Coquimbo Unido Predictions
Users Predictions:
Universidad de Chile will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Universidad de Chile will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Castellon G. (G) 6. Fernandez N. 22. Zaldivia M. 5. Ramirez N. 14. Morales M. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 29. Barrera L. 15. Reinhart T. 28. Arce A. 32. Reyna G. 11. Eduardo Vargas
13. Sanchez D. (G) 17. Salinas F. 2. Gazzolo B. 26. Soza L. 16. Cornejo J. 27. Riveros L. 8. Camargo A. 7. Galani S. (C) 28. Cabrera S. 9. Johansen N. 18. Rodriguez P.
Substitutes
19. Altamirano J. 21. Diaz M. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 17. Hormazabal F. 18. Lucero J. 8. Poblete Zuniga I. E. 9. Rivero O. 31. Tamayo B. 1. Toselli C. (G)
19. Arancibia J. 11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 30. Chandia B. 14. Cordero S. 1. Flores G. (G) 20. Mundaca Barraza M. A. 29. Pons F. 10. Vadala G. 23. Zepeda M.
Coaches
Gago F.
Caputto H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Barrera L. ↓, Guerrero Pena M. G. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
46', Gazzolo B. ↓, Arancibia J. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Eduardo Vargas ⚽, Morales M. (A),
64', Camargo A. ↓, Cordero S. ↑,
64', Riveros L. ↓, Chandia B. ↑,
70', Fernandez N. ↓, Hormazabal F. ↑,
70', Reyna G. ↓, Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Chandia B. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
73', Rodriguez P. ↓, Vadala G. ↑,
73', Johansen N. ↓, Pons F. ↑,
77', Cornejo J. 🟨,
80', Guerrero Pena M. G. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Castellon G. (Own goal),
82', Aranguiz C. ↓, Rivero O. ↑,
82', Arce A. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
85', Pons F. 🟨,
86', 2 - 2, Lucero J. ⚽,
90', Morales M. 🟨,
90', 3 - 2, Lucero J. ⚽, Morales M. (A),
90+2', Arancibia J. 🟨,
90+7', 4 - 2, Rivero O. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Universidad de Chile may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Coquimbo has had a series of home games.
In this match, Universidad de Chile is seen as the favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Universidad de Chile won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad de Chile won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
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Castellon G. (G) 
Barrera L. 
Riveros L. 
Rivero O. 
Tamayo B. 
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