Match Info

Date: 24 August 2022, Wednesday


	Cobreloa		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.45	3.45	6.25
	1.5	3.5	6.2
	1.48	3.81	8.61
	1.5	3.4	6.5
	1.5	3.72	6.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	6.74 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
60.9%

Draw
25.6%

Deportes Melipilla
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	5.3%	21.1%

Cobreloa - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Melipilla will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobreloa: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Promotion) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 0.

Cobreloa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melipilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melipilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cobreloa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cobreloa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Cup
20.08.22	Cobreloa - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
16.08.22	Santiago Morning - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
11.08.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
05.08.22	Cobreloa - Deportes Magallanes	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	Deportes Santa Cruz - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTWT
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.08.22	Deportes Melipilla - Unión San Felipe	1:0 ✺
01.08.22	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
26.07.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Recoleta	1:2 ✺
18.07.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Melipilla	2:0 ✺
11.07.22	Deportes Melipilla - Rangers de Talca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.04.22	Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa	0:0
30.12.20	Cobreloa - Deportes Melipilla	0:0
16.09.20	Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa	1:1
31.08.19	Cobreloa - Deportes Melipilla	0:1
23.02.19	Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa	1:1
12.08.18	Cobreloa - Deportes Melipilla	6:0
07.04.18	Deportes Melipilla - Cobreloa	3:0

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