Match Info

Date: 26 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Roberto Bravo Santibáñez (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.55	2.75	2.65
	2.45	2.95	2.75
	2.48	2.63	3.05
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.48	3	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.83)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)	2.83 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
36.2%

Draw
31.8%

Deportes Recoleta
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

30.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

29.2%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Melipilla's form might have worsened.

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Melipilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.9%	29.4%	14.7%

Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Recoleta Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Melipilla will win (votes: 19 - 55.9%). Recoleta will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melipilla: 39.2% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division).

Melipilla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportes Recoleta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Melipilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.07.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Melipilla	2:0 ✺
11.07.22	Deportes Melipilla - Rangers de Talca	1:2 ✺
04.07.22	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Melipilla	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
26.06.22	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
19.06.22	Deportes Melipilla - Coquimbo Unido	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT
- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.07.22	Deportes Recoleta - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
10.07.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
01.07.22	Deportes Recoleta - Unión San Felipe	3:3 ✺
05.06.22	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
29.05.22	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
11.03.22	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Melipilla	1:2

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