Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 11

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)

Referee: Vergara M. (Chi)


	Cobreloa		Everton de Viña

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.45
	2.8	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.99	3.36	2.4
	2.86	3.49	2.48
	2.7	3.3	2.38
	2.82	3.35	2.43	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.91)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	2.46 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
33.3%

Draw
28.5%

Everton de Viña
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

28.8%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Everton de Viña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Cobreloa - Everton de Viña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Avellaneda N. (G) 30. Gonzalez D. 5. Gonzalez R. 4. Tapia B. 24. Garcia L. 20. Sandoval M. 32. Mulet A. 2. Espejo J. 14. Orrego N. 17. Bravo C. 7. Insaurralde C.	1. Gonzalez I. (G) 3. Campos Mosqueira F. 23. Asta-Buruaga T. 24. Oyarzun D. 2. Riquelme C. 6. Madrid A. 21. Berrios B. 16. Mendez K. 7. Martinez F. 27. Contreras R. 29. Martinez B.
Substitutes
3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 28. Arancibia F. 1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 11. Leiva J. 18. Melendez J. 31. Roco T. 34. Vega R.	14. Baeza N. 9. Campos M. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 25. Ramos Aviles E. M. 8. Rios A. 20. Villagran 15. Wassenne M.
Coaches
Astorga E.	Solari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Gonzalez D. (Own goal),
14', Mulet A. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Martinez F. ⚽, Mendez K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mulet A. ↓, Aguila Bastias Y. M. ↑,
46', Sandoval M. ↓, Leiva J. ↑,
46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Arancibia F. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Insaurralde C. ⚽,
57', Oyarzun D. 🟨,
66', Martinez B. ↓, Ramos Aviles E. M. ↑,
67', Martinez F. 🟨,
70', Contreras R. 🟥,
78', Martinez F. 🟨,
79', Mendez K. 🟨,
82', Tapia B. ↓, Roco T. ↑,
87', Mendez K. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
90+4', Insaurralde C. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9).

Cobreloa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Everton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cobreloa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
27.04.24	Ñublense - Cobreloa	6:0 ✺
21.04.24	Cobreloa - Audax Italiano	0:3 ✺
15.04.24	Colo-Colo - Cobreloa	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Coquimbo Unido - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Cobreloa - Universidad de Chile	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWLL
- Everton de Viña
Chilean Primera Division
28.04.24	Everton de Viña - Coquimbo Unido	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Unión La Calera - Everton de Viña	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Unión Española - Everton de Viña	4:2 ✺
06.04.24	Everton de Viña - Audax Italiano	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Colo-Colo - Everton de Viña	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL

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