Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 29

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)

Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Cobreloa		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.37
	2.85	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.9	3.35	2.56
	2.86	3.22	2.47	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.77	3.42	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	2.41 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
33.3%

Draw
27.8%

Universidad Católica
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Cobreloa - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cobreloa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Espejo J. 4. Tapia B. 6. Palma N. 42. Brasil M. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 31. Roco T. 11. Leiva J. 7. Insaurralde C. (C) 23. Javier Parraguez 41. Donadell N.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 3. Mena E. 5. Gonzalez D. 17. Ampuero B. 22. Kagelmacher G. 14. Farias A. 15. Cuevas C. 18. Zuqui F. 10. Pinares C. 9. Zampedri F. (C) 35. Rossel J.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 10. Borgnino M. 43. Di Maio L. 33. Fernandez P. 24. Garcia L. 5. Gonzalez R. 37. Valdes B.	43. Arancibia F. 6. Canales A. 30. Castillo N. 13. Gillier T. (G) 11. Montes C. 24. Parot A. 4. Soto G.
Coaches
Bravo C.	Tiago Nunes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', Leiva J. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Ampuero B. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Insaurralde C. ⚽, Brasil M. (A),
18', 2 - 1, Javier Parraguez ⚽, Palma N. (A),
20', 2 - 2, Zampedri F. ⚽, Pinares C. (A),
44', Donadell N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Cuevas C. 🟨,
64', Cuevas C. ↓, Soto G. ↑,
64', Pinares C. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
67', Canales A. 🟨,
72', Rossel J. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
86', Javier Parraguez ↓, Di Maio L. ↑,
86', Brasil M. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
87', Zuqui F. ↓, Arancibia F. ↑,
88', Arancibia F. 🟨,
90+4', Roco T. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 2.

Cobreloa is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Uni Católica is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Uni Católica will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:29 (average 1.8:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Cobreloa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 2.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
20.10.24	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	4:1 ✺
07.10.24	Cobreloa - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
28.09.24	Everton de Viña - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Cobreloa - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Audax Italiano - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
19.10.24	Universidad Católica - Universidad de Chile	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	OHiggins - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Universidad Católica - Unión Española	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Universidad Católica - Deportes Copiapó	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
25.05.24	Universidad Católica - Cobreloa	4:1
Chilean Cup
17.06.18	Universidad Católica - Cobreloa	0:2
10.06.18	Cobreloa - Universidad Católica	1:2
09.09.15	Universidad Católica - Cobreloa	2:1 penalties
03.09.15	Cobreloa - Universidad Católica	2:0
Chilean Primera Division
16.01.15	Cobreloa - Universidad Católica	1:3
02.08.14	Universidad Católica - Cobreloa	5:1

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