Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 26

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sausalito (Vina del Mar)

Referee: Lara J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Everton de Viña		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.4	6.75
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.46	4.5	7.28
	1.47	4.31	6.51	Watch
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.45	4.5	6.49	Watch
	1.45	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)	4.47 ↑ (4.21)	6.72 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton de Viña
65%

Draw
21%

Cobreloa
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

21.2%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Everton de Viña's performance.

Cobreloa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Everton de Viña - Cobreloa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez I. (G) 3. Campos Mosqueira F. 33. Eduardo Bauermann 24. Oyarzun D. 14. Baeza N. 6. Madrid A. 21. Berrios B. 16. Mendez K. 26. Pastran L. 22. Fernandez O. 27. Contreras R.	22. Avellaneda N. (G) 2. Espejo J. 4. Tapia B. 6. Palma N. 42. Brasil M. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 11. Leiva J. 7. Insaurralde C. 10. Borgnino M. 41. Donadell N. 33. Fernandez P.
Substitutes
23. Asta-Buruaga T. 9. Campos M. 36. Dos Santos J. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 2. Ibacache A. 25. Ramos Aviles E. M. 20. Villagran	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 17. Bravo C. 43. Di Maio L. 24. Garcia L. 39. Ogaz B. 14. Orrego N. 37. Valdes B.
Coaches
Solari E.	Giovagnoli D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Brasil M. 🟨,
31', Espejo J. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Contreras R. (Pen),
39', Pastran L. 🟨,
45+4', Oyarzun D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandez P. ↓, Insaurralde C. ↑,
58', Brasil M. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
60', Baeza N. 🟨,
67', Contreras R. (Pen),
68', Fernandez O. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
70', Bravo C. ↓, Valdes B. ↑,
76', Ogaz B. 🟨,
83', Espejo J. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Contreras R. ⚽,
90+2', Pastran L. ↓, Wassenne M. ↑,
90+4', Mendez K. ↓, Asta-Buruaga T. ↑,
90+4', Berrios B. ↓, Villagran ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Everton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cobreloa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Everton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Everton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Everton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton de Viña
Chilean Primera Division
24.09.24	Coquimbo Unido - Everton de Viña	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Everton de Viña - Unión Española	3:2 ✺
28.08.24	Audax Italiano - Everton de Viña	1:2 ✺
25.08.24	Everton de Viña - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Ñublense - Everton de Viña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWLT
- Cobreloa
Chilean Primera Division
24.09.24	Cobreloa - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Audax Italiano - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Cobreloa - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
27.08.24	Cobreloa - Coquimbo Unido	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Universidad de Chile - Cobreloa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
05.05.24	Cobreloa - Everton de Viña	1:2

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