Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 5

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador (El Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports


	Cobresal		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	1.98	3.20	3.30
	1.98	3.35	3.5
	1.97	3.59	3.27
	1.40	4.03	8.74	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.2
	1.96	3.48	3.31
	1.93	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.84)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	4.04 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobresal
49.7%

Draw
27%

Cobreloa
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

28%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-1%)

Cobresal - Cobreloa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Santander A. (G) 22. Astudillo A. 16. Bechtholdt F. (C) 18. Moreno C. 15. Castillo A. 13. Valenzuela B. 17. Fuentes J. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 26. Belmar V. 11. Brea J. 32. Frias F.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 17. Tapia D. 4. San Juan B. 15. Garcia D. 32. Velazco F. 8. Cornejo L. 27. Sandoval M. 21. Muga C. 19. Navarro Y. 11. Gotti G. (C) 7. Zuniga S.
Substitutes
14. Huerta R. 31. Leyton D. 36. Olguin M. (G) 23. Pacheco G. 4. Sandoval R. 21. Sepulveda M. 6. Valencia E. 3. Villarroel B. 7. Yanis C.	9. Conelli V. 22. Delgado A. 37. Duma J. 5. Gonzalez R. 35. Luciano G. 20. Matamoros F. 13. Quezada A. 30. Tapia D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Brea J. ⚽,
20', Garcia D. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
24', 1 - 1, Gotti G. ⚽,
29', Carvallo U. B. A. 🟨,
30', Zuniga S. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Valenzuela B. ⚽, Astudillo A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sandoval M. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
50', Bechtholdt F. 🟨,
59', Navarro Y. ↓, Quezada A. ↑,
71', Carvallo U. B. A. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
71', Frias F. ↓, Yanis C. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Muga C. ⚽,
76', Castillo A. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
76', Fuentes J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
78', Zuniga S. ↓, Matamoros F. ↑,
81', Tapia D. 🟨,
88', Belmar V. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 1.

Cobresal is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cobreloa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cobreloa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cobresal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cobresal
Chilean Cup
01.07.26	Cobresal - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Cobresal - Deportes Antofagasta	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Cobreloa - Cobresal	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.06.26	Colo-Colo - Cobresal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLL
- Cobreloa
Chilean Cup
28.06.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Cobreloa - Cobresal	2:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.06.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Cobreloa - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Deportes Recoleta - Cobreloa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
20.06.26	Cobreloa - Cobresal	2:0
Chilean Primera Division
04.08.24	Cobresal - Cobreloa	3:2
01.03.24	Cobreloa - Cobresal	2:1
Chilean Cup
23.08.23	Cobreloa - Cobresal	4:2
20.08.23	Cobresal - Cobreloa	1:3
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.12.18	Cobreloa - Cobresal	2:2
24.11.18	Cobresal - Cobreloa	2:1

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