The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobresal 39.9%
Draw 27.5%
Deportes La Serena 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
26.2%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
25.6%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cobresal's form might have worsened.
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cobresal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
Cobresal - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cobresal: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Santander A. (G) 4. Sandoval R. 16. Bechtholdt F. (C) 18. Moreno C. 22. Astudillo A. 17. Fuentes J. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 28. Moreno F. 14. Huerta R. 13. Valenzuela B. 32. Frias F.
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 26. Dinamarca F. 5. Alarcon L. 17. Salazar Y. 16. Gutierrez J. 4. Mac Allister F. 14. Chamorro F. 8. Escalante G. 10. Vargas J. (C) 9. Henriquez A. 23. Marin M.
Substitutes
26. Belmar V. 11. Brea J. 15. Castillo A. 1. Gonzalez Renato (G) 31. Leyton D. 23. Pacheco G. 27. Roki M. 21. Sepulveda M. 3. Villarroel B.
36. Contreras B. 24. Diaz F. 21. Gutierrez B. 28. Orellana J. 29. Pinto M. 19. Sandoval B. 31. Tapia J. (G) 20. Velasquez M. 35. Zepeda M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
27', Chamorro F. 🟥,
38', Moreno F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dinamarca F. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
46', Henriquez A. ↓, Sandoval B. ↑,
46', Lanzillotta F. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
46', Moreno F. ↓, Brea J. ↑,
52', Marin M. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
56', Escalante G. 🟨,
62', Fuentes J. 🟨,
76', Bechtholdt F. 🟨,
78', Astudillo A. ↓, Roki M. ↑,
78', Frias F. ↓, Sepulveda M. ↑,
78', Valenzuela B. ↓, Pacheco G. ↑,
88', Mac Allister F. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Vargas J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 2.
Cobresal has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Deportes La Serena has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Cobresal has had a series of away games.
Cobresal could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
Chile
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Santander A. (G) 
Bechtholdt F. (C) 
Astudillo A. 
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