Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 11

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador (El Salvador)

Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)


	Cobresal		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.5	5.5
	1.5	4.1	5.6
	1.48	4.76	6.65
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.47	4.65	6.15	Watch
	1.48	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.78)	4.46 ↑ (3.6)	6 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobresal
63.3%

Draw
21%

Curicó Unido
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.4%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

25%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobresal's performance.

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curicó Unido might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobresal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curicó Unido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Cobresal - Curicó Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Curicó Unido will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobresal: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobresal won 2.

Recent matches Cobresal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Curicó Unido is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Curicó Unido could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cobresal is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cobresal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cobresal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
14.04.23	Palestino - Cobresal	1:5 ✺
Chilean Cup
09.04.23	Unión Bellavista - Cobresal	1:5 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.03.23	Cobresal - Colo-Colo	3:1 ✺
13.03.23	Coquimbo Unido - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.03.23	Cobresal - Palestino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLL
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Primera Division
17.04.23	Curicó Unido - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
10.04.23	Deportes Rengo - Curicó Unido	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
17.03.23	Ñublense - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
11.03.23	Curicó Unido - Huachipato	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	OHiggins - Curicó Unido	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
09.07.22	Curicó Unido - Cobresal	1:0
14.02.22	Cobresal - Curicó Unido	2:3
30.09.21	Curicó Unido - Cobresal	1:0
02.05.21	Cobresal - Curicó Unido	2:0
14.12.20	Curicó Unido - Cobresal	0:1
09.09.20	Cobresal - Curicó Unido	4:0
15.03.19	Curicó Unido - Cobresal	3:1

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