Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 6

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	Palestino		Cobresal

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.1	6	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.8
	1.55	3.95	5.9	Watch
	1.53	4.05	6.29
	1.51	4.33	5.81	Watch
	1.53	3.7	5.5
	1.59	4.15	5.79	Watch
	1.86	3.4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.86)	3.91 ↑ (3.4)	5.49 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
58.8%

Draw
24%

Cobresal
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palestino's performance.

Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cobresal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palestino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobresal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Palestino - Cobresal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1 - Palestino (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Palestino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (C) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 6. Meza F. 28. Zuniga D. 5. Fernandez J. 27. Munder C. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 18. Gallegos S. 21. Araya M. 19. Da Silva N.	30. Pinos J. (G) 16. Bechtholdt F. 18. Moreno C. 20. Tiznado J. (C) 23. Pacheco G. 17. Fuentes J. 5. Nadruz A. 4. Sandoval R. 24. Ramirez B. 8. Pino S. 28. Moreno B.
Substitutes
30. Alegria I. 11. Benitez J. 7. Carrasco B. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 13. Gomez A. 23. Leon J. 8. Meza N. 1. Salas S. (G) 20. Tapia Paez G.	22. Astudillo A. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 32. Frias F. 14. Huerta R. 27. Roki M. 12. Santander A. (G) 6. Valencia E. 13. Valenzuela B. 7. Yanis C.
Coaches
Munoz C.	Huerta G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Moreno B. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Araya M. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
44', Moreno B. 🟨,
44', Pino S. 🟨,
45+4', Zuniga D. 🟨,
45+4', Pacheco G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Moreno C. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
46', Ramirez B. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
46', Fuentes J. ↓, Yanis C. ↑,
56', Sandoval R. ↓, Astudillo A. ↑,
60', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Pacheco G. ⚽, Astudillo A. (A),
69', 2 - 1, Espinoza Hevia V. A. ⚽, Zuniga D. (A),
73', Araya M. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
73', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
77', 3 - 1, Fernandez J. ⚽,
84', Zuniga D. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
84', Munder C. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Frias F. ⚽, Carvallo U. B. A. (A),
87', 4 - 2, Da Silva N. ⚽, Leon J. (A),
90+1', Gallegos S. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 3.

In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cobresal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Palestino is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:13. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Palestino	23	11	3	9	36:33	3	36
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25

Last Results with these Odds

Cobresal - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.8%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Universidad de Chile - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
28.02.26	Palestino - OHiggins	4:2 ✺
21.02.26	Huachipato - Palestino	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Palestino - Universidad de Chile	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Coquimbo Unido - Palestino	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLTL
- CD Cobresal
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Cobresal - Audax Italiano	1:2 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
27.02.26	Cobresal - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Deportes Concepción - Cobresal	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Cobresal - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
09.02.26	Unión La Calera - Cobresal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
07.09.25	Cobresal - Palestino	2:1
15.02.25	Palestino - Cobresal	2:1
25.08.24	Palestino - Cobresal	3:0
29.03.24	Cobresal - Palestino	0:2
01.10.23	Cobresal - Palestino	2:1
14.04.23	Palestino - Cobresal	1:5
Copa Sudamericana
09.03.23	Cobresal - Palestino	0:1

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