Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Ojeda D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Cienciano		Deportes Iquique

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.47	4.2	6.5
	1.5	4.33	6	Watch
	1.5	4.37	6.16
	1.52	4.38	6.12	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5	Watch
	1.53	4.22	6.29	Watch
	1.5	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.7)	4.25 ↑ (3.73)	6.26 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
62.9%

Draw
22.1%

Deportes Iquique
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.3%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.

Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Cienciano - Deportes Iquique Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Iquique (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Barrios I. (G) 7. Estrada J. 4. Amondarain M. 70. Valoyes J. 27. Ortiz J. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 25. Gentile G. 9. Romagnoli J. 10. Cueva C. 17. Noronha O.	22. Requena L. (G) 7. Gomez J. 30. Blazquez M. 26. Saborit E. 13. Jorquera M. 21. Fernandez C. D. N. 16. Soto B. 20. Orellana D. 10. Puch E. (C) 14. Davila Carvajal M. 11. Ramos A.
Substitutes
19. Ascues A. 20. Benites Vargas L. E. 23. Cana D. (G) 28. Cavero S. 30. Da Silva B. 6. Galeano L. 8. Gonzalez A. 16. Ibanez P. 11. La Torre D. 22. Neira C. 26. Palomino R. 55. Ramua A.	24. Barrera B. 3. Ferreyra T. 17. Gonzalez C. 27. Henriquez A. 23. Hoyos E. 50. Marcotti L. 29. Moya M. 1. Reyes M. (G) 15. Rodriguez C. 4. Rojas D.
Coaches
Desio C.	Diaz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Gentile G. ⚽, Cueva C. (A),
26', Soto B. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Noronha O. ⚽, Gentile G. (A),
41', 3 - 0, Gentile G. ⚽,
45', Soto B. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Orellana D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
48', 4 - 0, Noronha O. ⚽, Romagnoli J. (A),
55', Ortiz J. 🟨,
63', Ramos A. ↓, Marcotti L. ↑,
63', Gomez J. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
64', Ortiz J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
64', Romagnoli J. ↓, Palomino R. ↑,
65', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
67', Cueva C. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
67', Noronha O. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑,
73', Benites Vargas L. E. 🟨,
77', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Galeano L. ↑,
79', Puch E. ↓, Hoyos E. ↑,
84', Valoyes J. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Cienciano is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cienciano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
10.05.25	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.25	Cienciano - Caracas	3:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.25	Alianza Lima - Cienciano	0:1 ✺
28.04.25	Cienciano - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Deportes Iquique - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 LWWWT
- Deportes Iquique
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Iquique	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.25	Deportes Iquique - Atlético Mineiro	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
04.05.25	Deportes Iquique - Huachipato	3:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
30.04.25	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Copiapó	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
27.04.25	OHiggins - Deportes Iquique	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Deportes Iquique - Cienciano	2:2

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