Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 10

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador (El Salvador)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports Premium


	Cobresal		OHiggins

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.83	3.59	2.48
	3.17	3.58	2.13	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.3
	2.89	3.35	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.92)	3.4 ↑ (3.33)	2.38 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobresal
33.1%

Draw
27.5%

OHiggins
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

27.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	50%	30%

Cobresal - OHiggins Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 2 - 20%). OHiggins will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Pinos J. (G) 23. Pacheco G. 16. Bechtholdt F. (C) 18. Moreno C. 15. Castillo A. 11. Brea J. 22. Astudillo A. 17. Fuentes J. 7. Yanis C. 10. Carvallo U. B. A. 8. Pino S.	31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 21. Garrido N. 27. Movillo J. 20. Diaz L. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 24. Gonzalez F. 10. Rabello B. (C) 7. Martin Sarrafiore 9. Castillo A.
Substitutes
32. Frias F. 14. Huerta R. 24. Ramirez B. 27. Roki M. 4. Sandoval R. 12. Santander A. (G) 20. Tiznado J. 6. Valencia E. 13. Valenzuela B.	14. Maturana M. 2. Morales C. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 15. Rojas B. 28. Schamine B. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T. 29. Yanez B.
Coaches
Huerta G.	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Brea J. ⚽, Carvallo U. B. A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Fuentes J. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
46', Bechtholdt F. ↓, Tiznado J. ↑,
46', Yanis C. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
47', Huerta R. 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Castillo A. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Tiznado J. ⚽, Carvallo U. B. A. (A),
70', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Maturana M. ↑,
71', Rabello B. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Vecino T. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
78', 2 - 3, Vecino T. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
85', Gonzalez F. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
90', Pacheco G. 🟨,
90+2', Diaz L. ↓, Rojas B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 1.

Cobresal is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, OHiggins has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

OHiggins may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

OHiggins might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobresal won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	28:38	-10	27
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25

Last Results with these Odds

OHiggins - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
12.04.26	Universidad de Concepción - Cobresal	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Coquimbo Unido - Cobresal	3:2 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Cobresal - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
26.03.26	Universidad de Concepción - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cobresal - Ñublense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- OHiggins
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.26	São Paulo - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
10.04.26	OHiggins - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.04.26	OHiggins - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.04.26	OHiggins - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
30.03.26	Palestino - OHiggins	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
16.08.25	OHiggins - Cobresal	1:0
16.03.25	Cobresal - OHiggins	0:0
02.11.24	Cobresal - OHiggins	3:1
25.05.24	OHiggins - Cobresal	2:2
25.11.23	OHiggins - Cobresal	0:0
10.05.23	Cobresal - OHiggins	1:0
21.10.22	OHiggins - Cobresal	1:0

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