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Current Win Probability
OHiggins 50.1%
Draw 27.4%
Audax Italiano 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
29%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
31.2%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Audax Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audax Italiano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
OHiggins - Audax Italiano Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. OHiggins will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for OHiggins: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Carabali O. (G) 3. Faundez F. 21. Garrido N. 33. Brizuela M. 6. Pavez L. (C) 14. Maturana M. 8. Felipe Ogaz 11. Leiva J. 24. Gonzalez F. 9. Castillo A. 7. Martin Sarrafiore
1. Ahumada T. (G) 16. Rojas Munoz O. J. 29. Ortiz M. 4. Pina D. 35. Rebolledo R. 8. Collao M. (C) 28. Mateos F. 23. Matus E. 11. Troyansky F. 18. Aedo N. 21. Chiaverano G.
Substitutes
20. Diaz L. 2. Morales C. 27. Movillo J. 1. Pena Jorge (G) 5. Pinto G. 10. Rabello B. 30. Tapia J. 32. Vecino T. 29. Yanez B.
10. Cabral R. 9. Coelho D. 27. Fuentes M. 25. Garrido P. (G) 7. Guajardo P. 17. Loyola F. 14. Monreal D. 32. Soto B. 2. Zenteno V.
Coaches
Bovaglio L.
Lema G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Maturana M. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Chiaverano G. ⚽, Aedo N. (A),
23', Pavez L. 🟨,
29', Chiaverano G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Maturana M. (A),
58', Aedo N. 🟨,
61', Aedo N. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
62', Maturana M. ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
69', Troyansky F. 🟨,
73', Chiaverano G. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
73', Troyansky F. ↓, Coelho D. ↑,
76', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
78', Cabral R. 🟨,
82', Leiva J. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
82', Brizuela M. ↓, Movillo J. ↑,
82', Gonzalez F. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
82', Rebolledo R. ↓, Guajardo P. ↑,
83', Mateos F. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
90+1', Carabali O. 🟨,
90+2', Castillo A. 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Audax Italiano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, OHiggins has had a series of away games.
Recently, Audax Italiano has had a series of home games.
OHiggins will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OHiggins won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, OHiggins won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).