The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colón 60.1%
Draw 26.3%
Almirante Brown 13.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.3%
28.7%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
28.1%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colón's performance.
Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Colón - Almirante Brown Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gimenez T. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 2. Thaller N. 6. Rasmussen F. 3. Olmedo S. 5. Munoz M. 11. Marcioni J. 8. Sarmiento D. 7. Toledo A. 10. Lago I. 9. Bonansea A.
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Velurtas P. 2. Cardozo E. 6. Cabral G. 3. Alegre Rojas G. 7. Abreliano M. 5. Gauna S. 8. Villoldo T. 10. Pascual L. 9. Zanotti M. 11. Santiago M.
Substitutes
16. Barrios P. 17. Beltran E. 13. Buosi J. 19. Cardozo M. 18. Garate L. 15. Ibarra C. 14. Ibarra Z. 12. Paredes T. (G) 20. Patron G.
12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Gonzalez R. 18. Jara L. 13. Levi M. 17. Martinez E. 15. Moreyra G. 14. Velazquez J. 19. Villalba S. 20. Zarate T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Peinipil M. 🟨,
17', Cabral G. 🟨,
42', Munoz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Sarmiento D. ↓, Ibarra C. ↑,
62', Zanotti M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
63', Marcioni J. ↓, Garate L. ↑,
63', Olmedo S. ↓, Ibarra Z. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Rasmussen F. ⚽,
68', Alegre Rojas G. 🟨,
71', Santiago M. ↓, Villalba S. ↑,
71', Abreliano M. ↓, Moreyra G. ↑,
77', Garate L. 🟨,
77', Cardozo E. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Velurtas P. ⚽, Moreyra G. (A),
80', 🟨,
83', Villoldo T. ↓, Levi M. ↑,
83', Pascual L. ↓, Jara L. ↑,
84', Garate L. ↓, Buosi J. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Lago I. ⚽, Buosi J. (A),
89', Toledo A. ↓, Barrios P. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Martinez E. ⚽,
Preview
In recent outings, Colón has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Almirante Brown has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Colón is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Colón has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colón against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).
Watch
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Gimenez T. (G) 
Olmedo S. 
Beltran E. 
Patron G. 
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