Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Colón		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.75
	1.72	3.2	4.95	Watch
	1.78	3.33	5.24
				Watch
	1.7	3.2	5.5
	1.77	3.2	4.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)	3.22 ↑ (2.99)	5.09 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
53%

Draw
28.8%

Almirante Brown
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

30.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

30.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colón's performance.

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almirante Brown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almirante Brown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Colón - Almirante Brown Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Colón will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colón will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gimenez T. (G) 4. Bettini G. 2. Thaller N. 6. Ibarra Z. 3. Ibarra C. 7. Gaitan L. 5. Yunis Z. 8. Jourdan F. 10. Rodriguez L. (C) 11. Bernardi C. 9. Gigliotti E.	1. Galvan B. (G) 7. Cardozo E. 2. Dattola A. (C) 4. Alegre Rojas G. 6. Iribarren N. 3. Abreliano M. 8. Velazquez J. 5. Cenci B. 10. Almada T. 9. Villalba S. 11. Belloso M.
Substitutes
18. Castro F. 13. Gallay T. 16. Gimenez A. 15. Lago I. 12. Paredes T. (G) 14. Sanchez F. 17. Soto G. 20. Taborda F. 19. Talpone N.	16. Acosta N. 14. Acuna M. 19. Gonzalez R. 18. Grahl F. 17. Iglesias L. 12. Martinez R. (G) 13. Pizarro P. 20. Vega L. 15. Villoldo T.
Coaches
Minella M.	Szeszurak G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Jourdan F. ⚽,
32', Almada T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cenci B. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
46', Thaller N. ↓, Soto G. ↑,
60', Belloso M. 🟨,
61', Ibarra Z. 🟨,
62', Belloso M. ↓, Grahl F. ↑,
62', Cardozo E. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
67', Jourdan F. ↓, Taborda F. ↑,
73', Gigliotti E. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
74', Bernardi C. ↓, Lago I. ↑,
74', Iribarren N. ↓, Iglesias L. ↑,
75', Gaitan L. ↓, Talpone N. ↑,
84', Villalba S. ↓, Vega L. ↑,

Preview

Colón is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Almirante Brown is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Colón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Colón has had a series of away games.

In this match, Colón is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Colón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Colón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Almirante Brown - the odds 3.68 are the expected chance of winning is 25.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.07.25	Chaco For Ever - Colón	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Colón - Mitre	0:1 ✺
23.06.25	Nueva Chicago - Colón	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Temperley - Colón	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Deportivo Morón - Colón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.07.25	Almirante Brown - Temperley	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Deportivo Morón - Almirante Brown	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.25	Almirante Brown - Colón	2:0
07.07.24	Almirante Brown - Colón	0:0
18.02.24	Colón - Almirante Brown	2:1

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