The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almirante Brown 45.9%
Draw 32.2%
San Miguel 21.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.1%
31.8%
20.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
31.2%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Almirante Brown - San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Velurtas P. 2. Cardozo E. 6. Cabral G. 3. Alegre Rojas G. 7. Abreliano M. 5. Gauna S. 8. Villoldo T. 10. Pascual L. 9. Zanotti M. 11. Santiago M.
1. Ledesma Reynoso M. (G) 4. Perez L. 2. Cardozo F. 6. Ceceri K. 3. Renteria D. 8. Almeida F. 5. Ramirez I. 10. Ferrero J. 11. De la Cruz E. 7. Serra M. 9. Nasta B.
Substitutes
19. Almada T. 12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Flores G. 18. Jara L. 13. Levi M. 17. Martinez E. 15. Moreyra G. 14. Velazquez J. 20. Zarate T.
13. Aguirre F. 15. Carosio T. 14. Cruz A. 16. Desabato L. 18. Diaz T. 12. Escobar M. (G) 19. Fernandez G. 20. Jerez T. 17. Oses M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Zanotti M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Pascual L. ⚽, Villoldo T. (A),
32', Renteria D. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
35', Aguirre F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Almeida F. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
46', Cardozo F. ↓, Diaz T. ↑,
57', Zanotti M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
70', De la Cruz E. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
75', Pascual L. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
75', Abreliano M. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
80', Gauna S. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
80', Ceceri K. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Diaz T. ⚽, Serra M. (A),
85', Alegre Rojas G. 🟨,
90+2', Cruz A. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Almirante Brown may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Almirante Brown carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Almirante Brown has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 0.7:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almirante Brown against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).
Watch
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Galvan B. (G) 
Renteria D. 
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