Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 13

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Colchagua		Lota Schwager

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.70
	1.93	3.53	3.52
	1.87	3.61	3.64	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.4
	1.88	3.55	3.92
	1.85	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	3.44 ↓ (3.54)	3.65 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchagua
48.5%

Draw
26.5%

Lota Schwager
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lota Schwager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchagua than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lota Schwager than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Colchagua - Lota Schwager Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Quezada J. (G) 16. Carrasco O. 20. Marin C. (C) 21. Opazo C. 23. Pavez C. 9. Perez V. M. 5. Rodriguez C. 18. Salas Pizarro D. E. 19. Sanchez J. 27. Segovia R. 10. Tobar J.	26. Silva P. (G) 4. Ambiado A. 10. Bravo D. 20. Fuentes P. 15. Hermosilla B. 21. Jopia Arias C. 14. Navarrete G. 8. Povea L. 2. Reyes J. 18. Salas C. 19. Vergara C.
Substitutes
1. Cancino Herrera R. E. (G) 7. Diaz R. 8. Diaz R. 15. Franco D. 2. Martin M. 24. Moreno E. 17. Valenzuela C.	29. Alburquenque J. (G) 6. Contreras J. J. 16. Lincopan N. 24. Ortiz F. 25. Pontigo L. 9. Quiroga L. 23. Torres S. 27. Torres S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Reyes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Segovia R. ↓, Martin M. ↑,
59', Salas C. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Hermosilla B. ⚽,
61', Fuentes P. ↓, Contreras J. J. ↑,
63', Tobar J. ↓, Valenzuela C. ↑,
63', Pavez C. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
63', Sanchez J. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
69', Marin C. 🟨,
72', Opazo C. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
75', Carrasco O. 🟨,
76', Marin C. 🟨,
77', Vergara C. 🟨,
81', Povea L. 🟨,
83', Bravo D. ↓, Torres S. ↑,
90', Reyes J. ↓, Quiroga L. ↑,
90', Salas C. ↓, Lincopan N. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 2, Quiroga L. ⚽,
90+7', Lincopan N. 🟨,
90+8', Moreno E. 🟥,

Preview

Colchagua is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lota Schwager's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colchagua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colchagua is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Colchagua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Colchagua	6	1	1	4	2:4	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Colchagua
Chilean Segunda Division
27.06.26	Deportes Rengo - Colchagua	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Colchagua - Provincial Osorno	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	General Velásquez - Colchagua	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Colchagua - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Colchagua - Deportes Linares	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTTW
- Lota Schwager
Chilean Segunda Division
28.06.26	General Velásquez - Lota Schwager	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Lota Schwager - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Deportes Linares - Lota Schwager	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Deportes Rengo - Lota Schwager	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Lota Schwager - Deportes Linares	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
02.05.26	Lota Schwager - Colchagua	1:2

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