Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Trophy

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Colchester United		Arsenal U21

	1	X	2
	1.9	4	3.4
	1.85	3.6	3.3
	1.87	3.75	3.5
	1.9	3.97	3.42
	1.84	4.01	3.66	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.3
	1.88	3.88	3.5
	1.87	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 (1.87)	3.83 ↑ (3.64)	3.45 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
49.3%

Draw
24%

Arsenal U21
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

24.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Arsenal U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Colchester United - Arsenal U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Arsenal U21 will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal U21: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Smith T. (G) 18. Egbo M. 5. Goodliffe B. 25. Donnelly A. 3. Iandolo E. 15. McDonnell J. 16. Read A. 31. Thorn O. 10. Payne J. 7. Anderson H. 14. Hopper T. (C)	55. Okonkwo B. (G) 51. Nichols J. 50. Monlouis Z. (C) 76. Heaven A. 59. Quesada E. 44. Gower J. 56. Oulad M'Hand S. 46. Kabia I. 57. M'hand I. 37. Butler-Oyedeji N. 40. Edwards K.
Substitutes
46. Chamberlain H. (G) 99. Drysdale R. 6. Flanagan T. 98. Godziemski O. 34. Sandah H. 33. Taylor L. 30. Woodyard A.	39. Dudziak H. 43. Forde R. 48. Kamara O. 81. Lannin-Sweet J. 93. Ranson K. (G) 61. Robinson J. 63. Rosiak M.
Coaches
Cowley D.	Ali M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Hopper T. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Anderson H. ⚽, Thorn O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Monlouis Z. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
46', Iandolo E. ↓, Flanagan T. ↑,
46', Payne J. 🟨,
50', 3 - 0, Egbo M. ⚽,
57', Oulad M'Hand S. ↓, Rosiak M. ↑,
62', McDonnell J. ↓, Woodyard A. ↑,
62', Anderson H. ↓, Sandah H. ↑,
63', Gower J. ↓, Dudziak H. ↑,
79', Nichols J. 🟨,
82', Payne J. ↓, Godziemski O. ↑,
82', Egbo M. ↓, Drysdale R. ↑,
90', Heaven A. 🟨,
90+1', Goodliffe B. 🟨,

Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Arsenal U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Colchester will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
09.11.24	Barrow - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Swindon Town - Colchester United	2:1 ET ✺
English League Two
26.10.24	Colchester United - Salford City	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Chesterfield - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Colchester United - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLTL
- Arsenal U21
English Premier League 2
01.11.24	Chelsea U21 - Arsenal U21	2:1 ✺
28.10.24	Blackburn Rovers U21 - Arsenal U21	3:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Arsenal U21	3:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League 2
05.10.24	Arsenal U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	2:5 ✺
27.09.24	Arsenal U21 - Liverpool U21	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL

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