Match Info

League Two - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cheltenham Town		York City

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.60	1.86	Watch
	3.60	3.50	1.98
	3.60	3.45	1.87	Watch
	3.44	3.73	2.06
	3.58	3.68	1.93	Watch
	3.60	3.80	1.92
	3.55	3.55	1.98	Watch
	3.45	3.45	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.08)	3.6 ↑ (3.33)	1.95 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
26.2%

Draw
25.9%

York City
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.6%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting York City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Cheltenham Town - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). York will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): York City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Stanway W. (G) 3. Tomkinson J. 5. Cundy R. 6. Wilson J. (C) 4. Tomlinson J. 7. Stevenson B. 19. Evans J. 17. McWilliams S. 8. McCann C. 26. Shipley J. 18. Weimann A.	1. McNally A. (G) 2. Fallowfield R. (C) 24. Williams M. 3. Kitching M. 23. Felix J. 8. Hunt A. 28. Banks O. 12. Boyes H. 30. Newby A. 10. Pearce O. 7. Grey J.
Substitutes
35. Barber M. 11. Bickerstaff J. 1. Day J. (G) 21. Nurse G. 9. Otchere K. 25. Sweeney P. 33. Willcox F.	17. Hewitt C. 15. King J. 18. Malcolm J. 33. McArthur C. 4. Medley Z. 16. Read A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)
Coaches
Cotterill S.	Lindsey S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', McWilliams S. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Pearce O. ⚽,
17', McCann C. (Penalty Awarded),
17', 1 - 1, Evans J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Shipley J. ↓, Sweeney P. ↑,
61', Stevenson B. ↓, Willcox F. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Evans J. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),
67', Hunt A. ↓, Read A. ↑,
67', Felix J. ↓, King J. ↑,
67', Newby A. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Malcolm J. ⚽, Boyes H. (A),
86', 3 - 2, McCann C. ⚽,
87', Evans J. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
87', Wilson J. ↓, Nurse G. ↑,
88', Kitching M. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
90+3', Weimann A. ↓, Otchere K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0.

Cheltenham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

York has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, York has had a series of home games.

York might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of English League Two for now

York City: 11.59% Cheltenham: 1.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	York City	9	4	3	2	17:11	6	15
8	Cheltenham	10	4	3	3	16:16	0	15

Last Results with these Odds

Cheltenham Town - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

York City - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League Two
29.08.26	Barnet - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Cheltenham Town - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Cheltenham Town - Charlton Athletic	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLWLL
- York City
English League Two
29.08.26	York City - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Rotherham United - York City	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	York City - Bristol Rovers	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
03.08.26	York City - Crawley Town	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	York City - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
03.04.15	York City - Cheltenham Town	1:0
01.11.14	Cheltenham Town - York City	0:1
08.02.14	York City - Cheltenham Town	0:0
02.11.13	Cheltenham Town - York City	2:2
12.01.13	Cheltenham Town - York City	1:1
22.09.12	York City - Cheltenham Town	0:0

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