The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 35.2%
Draw 26%
Cheltenham Town 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
26.7%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
27.9%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Michalski N. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Farquharson P. 5. Barker C. 22. Adeyemo A. 19. Pereira D. 20. Arthurs J. (C) 8. Watson L. 17. Kamara O. 27. Morgan D. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.
23. Stanway W. (G) 3. Tomkinson J. 5. Cundy R. 25. Sweeney P. 4. Tomlinson J. 7. Stevenson B. (C) 19. Evans J. 17. McWilliams S. 8. McCann C. 26. Shipley J. 18. Weimann A.
Substitutes
11. Aderoju O. 14. Di Biase G. 7. Ebiowei M. 31. Izquierdo J. (G) 25. Krasniqi K. 24. Odimayo A. 16. Russell J.
14. Broom R. 1. Day J. (G) 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G. 9. Otchere K. 33. Willcox F. 6. Wilson J.
Coaches
Kazim-Richards C.
Cotterill S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Morgan D. ⚽, Orsi-Dadomo D. (A),
32', 1 - 1, McCann C. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Weimann A. ⚽, Shipley J. (A),
35', Morgan D. 🟨,
42', Barker C. 🟨,
45', Evans J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 3, McCann C. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),
64', Pereira D. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
67', Arthurs J. 🟨,
70', Evans J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
70', McWilliams S. ↓, Willcox F. ↑,
72', Farquharson P. 🟨,
75', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Di Biase G. ↑,
75', Watson L. ↓, Krasniqi K. ↑,
78', Weimann A. ↓, Otchere K. ↑,
85', Shipley J. 🟨,
86', Shipley J. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
86', Adeyemo A. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
87', Morgan D. ↓, Ebiowei M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 3.
Crawley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cheltenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Crawley: Duke-McKenna S.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Cheltenham: Onukwuli F.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Mannone V.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cheltenham: Miller G.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Cheltenham: 2.39%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Cheltenham
9
4
3
2
16:14
2
15
24
Crawley
7
1
1
5
6:13
-7
4
Last Results with these Odds
Crawley Town - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.46%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Cheltenham Town - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.82%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Michalski N. (G) 
Pereira D. 
Watson L. 
Kamara O. 
Tomkinson J. 
McCann C. 
Weimann A. 
Di Biase G. 
Broom R. 
Otchere K. 
Kazim-Richards C. 
