The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 64.8%
Draw 20.2%
Newport County 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.9%
23%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
22.3%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Colchester United - Newport County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Araujo H. 3. Iandolo E. 14. Lisbie K. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 7. Anderson H. 9. Tovide S. 33. Mbick M.
28. Wright J. (G) 2. Evans C. 15. Jenkins L. 5. Clarke J. (C) 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 11. Antwi C. 44. Braybrooke S. 20. Lloyd B. 8. Smith M. 7. Kamwa B. 9. Baker-Richardson C.
Substitutes
43. Edwards F. 19. Goodwin W. 2. Hunt R. 10. Payne J. 12. Smith T. (G) 40. Terry F. 17. Williams J.
27. Alexander-Walker M. 4. Baker M. 6. Brennan C. 17. Davies T. 24. Opoku N. 12. Thomas J. 1. Tzanev N. (G)
Coaches
Cowley D.
Fuchs Ch.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Smith M. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Lisbie K. ⚽, Tovide S. (A),
31', Evans C. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Tovide S. ⚽, Mbick M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Clarke J. ↓, Baker M. ↑,
57', Tovide S. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Mbick M. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Braybrooke S. ⚽,
68', Smith M. ↓, Brennan C. ↑,
68', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
68', Lloyd B. ↓, Alexander-Walker M. ↑,
72', Lisbie K. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
72', Bishop T. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
78', Iandolo E. 🟨,
80', Mbick M. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
81', Iandolo E. ↓, Terry F. ↑,
84', Antwi C. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 1, Payne J. ⚽, Edwards O. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 2.
Colchester has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Newport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Colchester is the team to beat.
There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J.
(Inactive)
Flanagan T.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
Spellman M.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Newport: Baker M.
(Inactive)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Warner J.
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
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Macey M. (G) 
Vincent-Young K. 
Evans C. 
Kamwa B. 
Brennan C. 
Opoku N. 
Tzanev N. (G) 
Fuchs Ch. 
