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Current Win Probability
Notts County 42.5%
Draw 28%
Colchester United 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
26.7%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
26.5%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Notts County - Colchester United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Notts County will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roos K. (G) 28. Macari L. 12. Ness L. 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 20. Robertson S. 18. Palmer M. (C) 47. Bennetts K. 11. Grant C. 26. Hall T. 29. Jatta A.
1. Macey M. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. 6. Flanagan T. (C) 24. Araujo H. 3. Iandolo E. 14. Lisbie K. 16. Read A. 7. Anderson H. 33. Mbick M. 9. Tovide S.
Substitutes
19. Dennis M. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 14. Iorpenda T. 36. Jarvis W. 17. Kouhyar Q. 8. Norburn O. 5. Platt M.
21. Edwards O. 19. Goodwin W. 11. Gordon J. 2. Hunt R. 42. Oni M. 12. Smith T. (G) 17. Williams J.
Coaches
Paterson M.
Cowley D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Vincent-Young K. (Own goal),
14', 1 - 1, Anderson H. ⚽,
21', Flanagan T. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
28', Lisbie K. 🟨,
45', Robertson S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 2, Mbick M. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
59', Read A. 🟨,
65', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
65', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
71', Tovide S. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
71', Lisbie K. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
71', Palmer M. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
71', Bennetts K. ↓, Iorpenda T. ↑,
77', Mbick M. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
81', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 3, Goodwin W. ⚽, Gordon J. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Notts County: Gordon K.
(Knee Injury)
Luker J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
Gape D.
(Inactive)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: McDonald R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Colchester United - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.89%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
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Roos K. (G) 
Macari L. 
Ness L. 
Bedeau J. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Bennetts K. 
Grant C. 
Jatta A. 
Flanagan T. (C) 
Kouhyar Q. 
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