The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 58.9%
Draw 22.9%
Newport County 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
25%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62%
23.7%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
63.6%
18.2%
18.2%
Crewe Alexandra - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crewe Alexandra will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 18. Connolly J. 4. Mingi J. J. 3. Hutchinson R. 8. Thomas C. (C) 6. Sanders M. H. 26. O'Reilly T. 19. Lunt O. 20. Agius C. 36. Tezgel E.
28. Wright J. (G) 2. Evans C. 15. Jenkins L. 5. Clarke J. (C) 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 21. Spellman M. 11. Antwi C. 44. Braybrooke S. 20. Lloyd B. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 19. Garner G.
Substitutes
22. Croker P. 30. Dancey S. 14. Finney C. 24. March J. 15. Rankine D. 29. Thibaut A. 13. Waller S. (G)
6. Brennan C. 17. Davies T. 7. Kamwa B. 24. Opoku N. 12. Thomas J. 1. Tzanev N. (G) 14. Whitmore K.
Coaches
Bell L.
Fuchs Ch.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Tezgel E. ⚽, O'Reilly T. (A),
45+1', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Connolly J. (Own goal),
56', Mingi J. J. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
56', Wright J. 🟨,
61', Driscoll-Glennon A. 🟨,
63', Lunt O. ↓, March J. ↑,
64', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,
71', Garner G. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
75', Spellman M. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
76', Agius C. ↓, Rankine D. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, March J. ⚽,
81', Finney C. 🟨,
86', Evans C. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
86', Lloyd B. ↓, Whitmore K. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Antwi C. ⚽, Whitmore K. (A),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1.
Crewe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Newport has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Newport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Crewe is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Crewe: Powell J.
(Groin Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Newport: Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Back Injury)
There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O.
(Calf Injury)
Lankester J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Newport: Baker M.
(Inactive)
Warner J.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).
United-kingdom
Watch
#ad
Booth T. (G) 
Connolly J. 
Thibaut A. 
Kamwa B. 
Opoku N. 
Tzanev N. (G) 
Fuchs Ch. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
