The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 24.1%
Draw 27.2%
Stockport County 48.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.3%
24.1%
56.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.1%
23.1%
54.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stockport County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stockport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.8%
15.8%
68.4%
Colchester United - Stockport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Stockport will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 47.5% – 89.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 20. Mingi J. J. 4. Kelleher F. 5. Hall C. (C) 17. Anderson H. 10. Chilvers N. 13. McGeehan C. 16. Read A. 3. Iandolo E. 24. Akinde J. 14. Hopper T.
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 5. Byrne N. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 2. Knoyle K. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 11. Powell N. 10. Sarcevic A. 23. Bristow E. 25. Olaofe I. 9. Madden P. (C)
Substitutes
6. Dallison T. 42. Fevrier J. 29. Hornby S. (G) 48. Ihionvein B. 26. Richardson J. 27. Smith A. 9. Tovide S.
27. Bailey O. 20. Barry L. 8. Camps C. 21. Hippolyte M. 22. Richards R. 12. Smith J. (G) 19. Wootton K.
Coaches
Cowley D.
Challinor D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Kelleher F. 🟨,
17', Horsfall F. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Powell N. ⚽, Sarcevic A. (A),
41', Anderson H. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
44', 1 - 1, McGeehan C. ⚽, Read A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Mingi J. J. 🟨,
61', 1 - 2, Madden P. ⚽, Lemonheigh-Evans C. (A),
64', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Barry L. ↑,
64', Madden P. ↓, Wootton K. ↑,
65', Sarcevic A. ↓, Camps C. ↑,
67', McGeehan C. (Pen),
69', Kelleher F. ↓, Dallison T. ↑,
69', Hopper T. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
71', McGeehan C. 🟨,
73', Knoyle K. 🟨,
75', Bristow E. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
76', McGeehan C. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
82', Powell N. 🟨,
87', Olaofe I. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Stockport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Stockport will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.