Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 40

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stockport County		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.1
	1.83	3.6	4.2
	1.88	3.72	4.48
	1.82	3.72	4.48
	1.83	3.7	3.9
	1.84	3.66	4.03	Watch
	1.76	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.71)	3.62 ↓ (3.76)	4.24 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
51.6%

Draw
26.1%

Milton Keynes Dons
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

24.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

27.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stockport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	21.4%	28.6%

Stockport County - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 7 - 50%). MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 34. Kane T. 6. Horsfall F. 15. Pye E. 3. Touray I. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 8. Camps C. 11. Powell N. 9. Madden P. (C) 19. Wootton K. 25. Olaofe I.	32. Kelly M. (G) 6. Williams M. 5. O'Hora W. 21. Harvie D. 29. Lofthouse K. 11. Payne J. 50. Bate L. 14. Tomlinson J. 24. Wearne S. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 22. Tezgel E.
Substitutes
27. Bailey O. 5. Byrne N. 18. Croasdale R. 21. Hippolyte M. 31. Knight B. 22. Richards R. 12. Smith J. (G)	18. Dean M. 9. Harrison E. 19. Ilunga B. 3. Lewington D. 33. Marschall F. (G) 2. Norman C. 17. Robson E.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Williamson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Camps C. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Madden P. ⚽, Camps C. (A),
39', Payne J. 🟨,
44', Kane T. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 0, Olaofe I. ⚽, Madden P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 4 - 0, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ⚽,
57', Tezgel E. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
57', Payne J. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
57', Williams M. ↓, Norman C. ↑,
60', Powell N. ↓, Croasdale R. ↑,
67', Kane T. ↓, Byrne N. ↑,
68', Olaofe I. ↓, Bailey O. ↑,
77', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
80', Wearne S. ↓, Robson E. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 0, Byrne N. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Stockport is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League Two
18.03.24	Crawley Town - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
14.03.24	Salford City - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Stockport County - Newport County	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Stockport County - Swindon Town	0:0 ✺
20.02.24	Gillingham - Stockport County	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTWTT
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
16.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	3:1 ✺
12.03.24	Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Salford City	3:1 ✺
05.03.24	Mansfield Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	AFC Wimbledon - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Stockport County	1:2

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