Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 40

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: One Call Stadium (Mansfield)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Mansfield Town		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.41	4.8	6.5
	1.42	5	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.88	7.29
	1.42	4.89	7.29
	1.4	4.8	7
	1.41	4.95	6.52	Watch
	1.35	4.9	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.9 ↑ (4.75)	6.86 ↑ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mansfield Town
67.1%

Draw
19.2%

Colchester United
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

19.8%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

18.9%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	9.5%	9.5%

Mansfield Town - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: Mansfield Town will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 9. Bowery J. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 6. Cargill B. 44. Boateng H. 25. Reed L. 16. Quinn S. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 26. Swan W. 7. Akins L.	1. Goodman O. (G) 20. Mingi J. J. 6. Dallison T. 5. Hall C. (C) 17. Anderson H. 27. Smith A. 16. Read A. 42. Fevrier J. 13. McGeehan C. 14. Hopper T. 48. Ihionvein B.
Substitutes
8. Clarke O. 13. Flinders S. (G) 12. Gale J. 4. Hewitt E. 15. Lewis A. 3. McLaughlin S. 20. Nichols T.	24. Akinde J. 10. Chilvers N. 22. Harbottle R. 29. Hornby S. (G) 3. Iandolo E. 7. Jay M. 9. Tovide S.
Coaches
Clough N.	Cowley D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Anderson H. ⚽, Hopper T. (A),
16', Ihionvein B. 🟨,
45+2', Hall C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Keillor-Dunn D. 🟨,
57', Ihionvein B. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Brunt L. ⚽,
70', Cargill B. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
70', Boateng H. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
74', Tovide S. 🟨,
75', Hopper T. 🟨,
79', Hopper T. ↓, Iandolo E. ↑,
89', Fevrier J. ↓, Chilvers N. ↑,
90+1', Swan W. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 22).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Colchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mansfield is indisputable favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Mansfield won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mansfield Town
English League Two
16.03.24	Bradford City - Mansfield Town	1:5 ✺
12.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Mansfield Town - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
05.03.24	Mansfield Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Newport County - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Colchester United
English League Two
16.03.24	Colchester United - Walsall	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Barrow - Colchester United	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Salford City - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Sutton United - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Colchester United - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.09.23	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	1:1
08.05.23	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	0:2
03.12.22	Mansfield Town - Colchester United	2:1
08.02.22	Mansfield Town - Colchester United	2:1
17.08.21	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	1:1
14.02.21	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	2:2
20.11.20	Mansfield Town - Colchester United	1:1

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