Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester)

Referee: Gill S. (Eng)


	Colchester United		Tottenham Hotspur U21

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.4	Watch
	1.92	3.84	3.54
	1.95	3.6	3
	1.89	3.86	3.48
	1.94	3.7	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.25)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	3.34 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
47.8%

Draw
24.6%

Tottenham Hotspur U21
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colchester United's performance.

Tottenham Hotspur U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tottenham Hotspur U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchester United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur U21 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tottenham Hotspur U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colchester United - Tottenham Hotspur U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Smith T. (G) 2. Greenidge W. 43. Beadle H. 28. Nelson R. 8. Bandeira M. 7. Jay M. 31. Thomas D. 20. Mingi J. J. 19. Newby A. 14. Hopper T. (C) 48. Ihionvein B.	54. Keeley J. (G) 60. Ashcroft T. 65. Dorrington A. 35. Phillips A. 56. Sayers C. 53. Lyons-Foster B. 51. Craig M. (C) 58. Santiago Y. 52. Soonsup-Bell J. 63. Donley J. 62. Lankshear W.
Substitutes
49. Bennett K. 10. Chilvers N. 37. Cooper C. 29. Hornby S. (G) 15. Mitchell Z. 47. Thorn O. 9. Tovide S.	72. Andiyapan W. 68. Cassanova D. J. 66. Kyerematen R. 61. Maguire A. (G) 67. McKnight M. 57. Robson M. 36. Veliz A.
Coaches
Garner B.	Burnett W.

Preview

Recent matches Colchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tottenham U21 in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Colchester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
16.09.23	Colchester United - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Colchester United - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Walsall - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
26.08.23	Gillingham - Colchester United	0:3 ✺
19.08.23	Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWLWL
- Tottenham Hotspur U21
English Premier League 2
02.09.23	Tottenham Hotspur U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	4:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
29.08.23	Tottenham Hotspur U21 - Sunderland U21	3:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
25.08.23	Derby County U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Tottenham Hotspur U21 - Newcastle United U21	4:1 ✺
12.08.23	Manchester City U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
08.10.19	Colchester United - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:2 penalties

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