The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 34.8%
Draw 29.4%
Colchester United 35.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
28.3%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
27.4%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Colchester United aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
55.6%
11.1%
Gillingham - Colchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Turner J. (G) 4. Masterson C. 5. Smith A. 30. Gale S. 2. Hutton R. 14. McKenzie R. 8. Little A. (C) 11. Rowe A. 23. Dack B. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 19. Vokes S.
1. Macey M. (G) 2. Hunt R. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Araujo H. 3. Iandolo E. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 14. Lisbie K. 10. Payne J. 7. Anderson H. 33. Mbick M.
Substitutes
9. Andrews J. 3. Clark M. 6. Coleman E. 1. Morris G. (G) 20. Nevitt E. 22. Ogie S. 10. Williams J.
21. Edwards O. 15. Gape D. 19. Goodwin W. 12. Smith T. (G) 40. Terry F. 9. Tovide S. 30. Vincent-Young K.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Cowley D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Vokes S. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
68', Anderson H. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
68', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, McKenzie R. ⚽, Rowe A. (A),
77', Lisbie K. 🟨,
81', Payne J. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
82', Mbick M. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
86', Little A. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Read A. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Lisbie K. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
90', Masterson C. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
90', Dack B. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N.
(Inactive)
Morris G.
(Injury)
There will not play in Colchester: Baldwin J.
(Inactive)
Flanagan T.
(Knee Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: McCleary G.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Wyllie M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Colchester: Akande A.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Gillingham - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Colchester United - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.69%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.