Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Ferrocarril Midland		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.5	Watch
	2	3	3.75
	2	3	3.9	Watch
	1.98	3.15	4.67
	1.92	3.17	4.39	Watch
	2	2.9	4
	1.93	3.06	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)	3.05 ↑ (2.94)	4.24 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
47.5%

Draw
30.5%

Agropecuario Argentino
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

31.7%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

30.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Ferrocarril Midland - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Agropecuario will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Cepeda G. 6. Gonzalez F. 3. Casarico P. 7. Rogoski M. 5. Violini N. 8. Camano J. 11. Campana A. I. 10. Roseti M. 9. Perales J.	1. Acosta L. (G) 4. Perez F. 2. Lecanda T. 6. Aguirre A. 3. Cabello J. 10. Castro R. 5. Valdez J. 8. Aranda B. 11. Mosqueira R. 7. Blando B. 9. Barrera L.
Substitutes
18. Cao R. 14. Figueroa R. 16. Frattini M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 17. Gargiulo V. 13. Gigli L. 15. Penepil M. 19. Torancio E. 20. Vega J.	13. Actis D. 15. Aguirre E. 18. Gagliardi A. 17. Gallucci S. 16. Lemos D. 14. Molina M. 19. Napolitano A. 20. Ruiz Diaz D. 12. Salort G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Rogoski M. ⚽, Campana A. I. (A),
29', Auzqui C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Camano J. ↓, Cao R. ↑,
51', Barrera L. 🟨,
55', Barrera L. ↓, Gagliardi A. ↑,
55', Auzqui C. ↓, Ruiz Diaz D. ↑,
62', Mosqueira R. ↓, Napolitano A. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Roseti M. (A),
67', Blando B. 🟨,
82', Campana A. I. ↓, Figueroa R. ↑,
82', Perales J. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
89', Roseti M. ↓, Vega J. ↑,
89', Rogoski M. ↓, Gargiulo V. ↑,
90', Cabello J. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Agropecuario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferrocarril is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.26	Tristán Suárez - Ferrocarril Midland	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Güemes	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Chacarita Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.04.26	Deportivo Morón - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWL
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Agropecuario Argentino - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Agropecuario Argentino	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWLL

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