Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)


	Nueva Chicago		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.85	4	Watch
	2.05	2.8	4
	2.15	2.72	3.9
	2.14	2.8	4.47
	2.11	2.79	4.32	Watch
	2.15	2.63	4
	2.06	2.68	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)	2.75 ↓ (2.77)	4.12 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
43.9%

Draw
33.6%

Colegiales
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

33.7%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

32.4%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Nueva Chicago - Colegiales Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Colegiales (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colegiales (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Masuero F. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Gissi D. 6. Paz G. 3. Ferracutti G. 8. Ramirez R. 5. Mendez E. 7. Rodriguez T. 11. Vega G. 10. Ambrogio L. 9. Cocimano S.	1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Rivero F. 6. Ortiz L. 3. Insua E. 5. Marin F. 10. Castillo L. 11. Monserrat R. E. 7. Gonzalez L. 8. Trinidad E. 9. Albertengo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Hanashiro F. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
57', Monserrat R. E. ↓, Mamani M. ↑,
62', Vega G. ↓, Romero M. S. ↑,
62', Ambrogio L. ↓, Ocampo T. ↑,
62', Cocimano S. ↓, Petrecca N. ↑,
66', Zicarelli F. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
66', Gonzalez L. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
74', Arroyo D. 🟨,
76', Arroyo D. ↓, Ferracutti G. ↑,
83', Paz G. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,
86', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
86', Trinidad E. 🟨,
87', Insua E. 🟨,
90', Ocampo E. ↓, Juarez L. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Nueva Chicago is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colegiales has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Colegiales may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nueva Chicago is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	Quilmes - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Nueva Chicago - All Boys	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Nueva Chicago - Gimnasia y Tiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TTWTW
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.26	Colegiales - Temperley	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Colegiales - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Patronato Parana - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWTL

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