Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Colegiales		Argentino de Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.41	2.69	3.34
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.42	2.68	3.38
	2.29	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.16)	2.81 ↓ (2.96)	3.2 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
39.2%

Draw
32.3%

Argentino de Quilmes
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

32.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Colegiales - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Alegre Rojas N. G. 🟥,
43', Machado M. 🟥,
45+1', 1 - 0, Toloza N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera B
06.05.24	Fénix - Colegiales	0:3 ✺
27.04.24	Colegiales - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Los Andes - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Colegiales - Cañuelas	4:0 ✺
08.04.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Colegiales	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLWT
- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
04.05.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Deportivo Flandria - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Villa San Carlos	3:0 ✺
14.04.24	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Quilmes	1:1 ✺
08.04.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.09.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Colegiales	2:1
02.05.23	Colegiales - Argentino de Quilmes	0:1
26.06.22	Argentino de Quilmes - Colegiales	1:2
26.02.22	Colegiales - Argentino de Quilmes	2:3
24.07.21	Colegiales - Argentino de Quilmes	3:0
13.03.21	Argentino de Quilmes - Colegiales	1:2
06.12.20	Argentino de Quilmes - Colegiales	3:1

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