The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coleraine 79.4%
Draw 13.1%
Dungannon Swifts 7.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.3%
18.3%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.1%
19.3%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coleraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Coleraine's performance.
Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dungannon Swifts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coleraine than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Coleraine that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dungannon Swifts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Coleraine - Dungannon Swifts Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
58. Harris A. (G) 4. Boyle D. 11. Cooper J. 18. Dunne C. 17. Glackin J. 15. Ives L. 3. Jarvis D. 23. Okoro Z. 8. Patching W. 9. Shevlin M. 20. Stewart C.
1. Dunne D. (G) 13. Alves L. 23. Bigirimana G. (C) 10. Dillon K. 14. Glenny A. 6. Kelly T. 4. Marron C. 67. McAllister S. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 2. Scott S. 22. Wallace D.
Substitutes
36. Devlin O. 81. Hoey-Kemp A. 2. Kane L. 5. Long A. 6. Lyons-Foster K. 7. McGregor L. 29. McManus D.
12. Henderson A. (G) 8. Knowles J. . Maguire P. 19. Maguire T. . McAleese B. 17. McGinty C. 26. Mitchell A.
Coaches
Higgins R.
McAree R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Okoro Z. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Marron C. (Own goal),
28', Boyle D. 🟨,
33', Alves L. ↓, McAleese B. ↑,
39', McAllister S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Cooper J. 🟨,
54', Jarvis D. 🟨,
54', 3 - 0, Cooper J. ⚽,
61', 4 - 0, Patching W. (Pen),
62', Glackin J. ↓, Lyons-Foster K. ↑,
63', Dillon K. ↓, Maguire P. ↑,
63', Wallace D. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
63', Scott S. ↓, McGinty C. ↑,
67', Patching W. ↓, Devlin O. ↑,
67', Stewart C. ↓, Kane L. ↑,
74', Kelly T. ↓, Maguire T. ↑,
78', Cooper J. ↓, McManus D. ↑,
78', Shevlin M. ↓, McGregor L. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coleraine won 3.
Coleraine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dungannon is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Coleraine may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Coleraine is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coleraine won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Coleraine won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 2.1:0.6).