Match Info

Irish League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Ards		Dungannon Swifts

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.9	1.52
	4.55	3.75	1.65
	4.65	3.7	1.61
	5.51	1.84	2.81	Watch
	4.72	3.66	1.63
	5	4.1	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↓ (5.05)	3.49 ↓ (4)	1.8 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
19.6%

Draw
27.3%

Dungannon Swifts
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22.7%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.4%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dungannon Swifts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dungannon Swifts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ards - Dungannon Swifts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (1 - 1)
93', 1 - 0, Scannell E. ⚽,
105', 1 - 1, Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Dungannon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ards won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 2:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
04.10.25	Newington - Ards	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Loughgall - Ards	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ards - Armagh City	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Ards - Queens University Belfast	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ards	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTWLW
- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
04.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Dungannon Swifts - Cliftonville	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Cup
07.01.23	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	3:1
Northern Irish Premiership
23.04.19	Ards - Dungannon Swifts	1:0
29.12.18	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	0:3
03.11.18	Ards - Dungannon Swifts	2:2
22.09.18	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	0:0
28.04.18	Ards - Dungannon Swifts	3:4
27.01.18	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	1:0

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