Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 27

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stangmore Park (Dungannon)

Referee: Morrison C. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dungannon Swifts		Glentoran

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.5	1.78
	4.18	3.58	1.86
	4.15	3.59	1.76	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.8
	4.18	3.42	1.76
	4.2	3.4	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.69)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)	1.79 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dungannon Swifts
22.1%

Draw
26.5%

Glentoran
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.4%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.4%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Glentoran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Dungannon Swifts - Glentoran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dunne D. (G) 13. Alves L. 34. Bigirimana G. 10. Dillon K. 14. Glenny A. 6. Kelly T. 5. Marron C. 26. Mitchell A. 37. Smith C. 20. Smith M. 23. Wallace D.	1. Mills A. (G) 22. Amos D. 25. Clarke R. 44. Douglas J. 9. Hoban P. 18. Kamara M. 26. O'Rourke J. 8. Palmer C. 27. Singleton J. 10. Stewart J. 6. Thomson J.
Substitutes
21. Doyle P. 16. Gordon S. 12. Henderson A. (G) 67. McAllister S. 11. McBrien D. 17. McGinty C. 30. Moore K.	17. Burt L. 7. Connolly D. 23. Francis Crellin W. (G) 30. Jenkins J. 5. Kelly J. 20. Larmour D. 67. McEneff A.
Coaches
McAree R.	Devine D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Hoban P. ⚽,
44', Singleton J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Clarke R. 🟨,
49', Kamara M. 🟨,
53', Mitchell A. 🟨,
53', Clarke R. ↓, McEneff A. ↑,
61', Dillon K. ↓, Doyle P. ↑,
61', Smith C. ↓, McAllister S. ↑,
69', Mitchell A. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
69', Bigirimana G. ↓, Gordon S. ↑,
70', Stewart J. 🟨,
70', 0 - 2, Palmer C. ⚽,
83', Stewart J. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
83', Hoban P. ↓, Jenkins J. ↑,
89', Wallace D. 🟨,
90+2', Amos D. ↓, Connolly D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 3.

In recent matches, Dungannon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Glentoran is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dungannon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Glentoran could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 14:44. (average 0.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Glentoran: 2.48% Dungannon: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Glentoran	10	5	1	4	15:10	5	16
7	Dungannon	9	4	1	4	9:10	-1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
24.01.26	Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts	5:1 ✺
17.01.26	Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
10.01.26	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
03.01.26	Crusaders - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- Glentoran
Northern Irish Cup
20.01.26	Glentoran - Strabane Athletic	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
17.01.26	Glenavon - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Glentoran - Larne	1:4 ✺
03.01.26	Carrick Rangers - Glentoran	0:7 ✺
30.12.25	Glentoran - Portadown	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
21.11.25	Glentoran - Dungannon Swifts	0:1
11.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Glentoran	3:1
19.04.25	Dungannon Swifts - Glentoran	3:2
08.02.25	Glentoran - Dungannon Swifts	1:0
12.10.24	Glentoran - Dungannon Swifts	2:0
07.09.24	Dungannon Swifts - Glentoran	1:0
16.03.24	Dungannon Swifts - Glentoran	0:3

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