Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stangmore Park (Dungannon)

Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Dungannon Swifts		Larne

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.35	1.85
	4.24	3.5	1.88
	4.10	3.52	1.82	Watch
	3.84	3.32	1.97
	4	3.4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (4.1)	3.42 ↓ (3.52)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dungannon Swifts
23.1%

Draw
27.2%

Larne
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

26.4%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.6%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Dungannon Swifts - Larne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dunne D. (G) 13. Alves L. 34. Bigirimana G. (C) 14. Glenny A. 6. Kelly T. 8. Knowles J. 4. Maguire P. 17. McGinty C. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. 2. Scott S. 23. Wallace D.	1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 4. Donnelly A. 6. Gallagher C. 11. Graham S. 7. McKendry C. 21. Millar L. 19. Nolan R. 10. O'Connor T. 8. Randall M. 3. Ridley M.
Substitutes
31. Glass D. (G) . Liggett E. 19. Maguire T. 22. McAleese B. . McCarron D. 26. Mitchell A. 20. Smith M.	46. Graham D. (G) 30. Lusty M. 14. Magee B. 22. McEneff J. 9. O'Neill P. 47. Simpson J. 36. Wallace L.
Coaches
McAree R.	Haveron G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Randall M. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Scott S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', O'Connor T. ↓, O'Neill P. ↑,
76', Randall M. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, O'Neill P. (Pen),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 3.

Dungannon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Larne is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dungannon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Larne is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:34. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.5:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Larne - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
21.11.25	Glentoran - Dungannon Swifts	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Cliftonville - Dungannon Swifts	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Dungannon Swifts - Crusaders	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Glenavon	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Coleraine - Dungannon Swifts	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWL
- Larne FC
Northern Irish Premiership
25.11.25	Coleraine - Larne	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Larne - Glenavon	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Larne - Portadown	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Ballymena United - Larne	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Larne - Bangor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
04.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	2:0
01.04.25	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	1:1
22.02.25	Larne - Dungannon Swifts	0:1
23.12.24	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	0:1
06.10.24	Larne - Dungannon Swifts	0:3
20.01.24	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	0:2
13.10.23	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	0:0

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