Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL PREMIERSHIP - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: The Showgrounds (Coleraine)

Referee: Kennedy K. (Nir)


	Coleraine		Newry City

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	8.5
	1.33	5.55	8.24
	1.25	4.75	8
	1.33	5	8.1
	1.34	5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.31)	5.06 ↓ (5.25)	8.09 ↓ (8.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coleraine
70.4%

Draw
18.2%

Newry City
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

17.8%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

16.9%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coleraine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coleraine than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Coleraine - Newry City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gallagher M. (G) 11. Carson J. 20. Cole D. 17. Glackin J. 3. Jarvis D. 2. Kane L. 5. Kelly G. 16. Lynch L. 10. McDaid D. 7. McKendry C. 9. Shevlin M.	31. Murphy T. (G) 8. Carroll A. 24. Forde L. 3. Healy N. 9. Hughes D. 2. King D. (C) 10. Lockhart T. 17. Martin A. 5. McKeown B. 36. Mooney J. 7. O'Connor C.
Substitutes
31. Devine S. 51. Donnelly C. (G) 28. Harkin L. 6. Jarvis A. 8. Lowry S. 22. Mitchell A. 29. Scott A.	19. Healy B. 1. Maguire S. (G) 4. McGivern R. 29. Newell L. 39. Owens D. 38. Poynton G. 14. Salley A.
Coaches
Kearney O.	Boyle G.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Coleraine won 4.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Coleraine is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Coleraine won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Coleraine won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coleraine FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
09.09.23	Coleraine - Hamilton Academical	1:3 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
02.09.23	Coleraine - Linfield	1:3 ✺
25.08.23	Dungannon Swifts - Coleraine	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Coleraine - Larne	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Carrick Rangers - Coleraine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTL
- Newry City
Northern Irish Premiership
09.09.23	Newry City - Glentoran	2:4 ✺
02.09.23	Larne - Newry City	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Newry City - Crusaders	0:4 ✺
19.08.23	Glenavon - Newry City	1:3 ✺
15.08.23	Newry City - Cliftonville	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
14.02.23	Coleraine - Newry City	1:0
10.01.23	Newry City - Coleraine	1:2
23.09.22	Coleraine - Newry City	2:0
15.03.19	Newry City - Coleraine	1:4
30.11.18	Coleraine - Newry City	0:1
29.09.18	Newry City - Coleraine	1:1

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