Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL PREMIERSHIP - ROUND 25

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: The Showgrounds (Newry)

Referee: Boyce E. (Nir)


	Newry City		Cliftonville

	1	X	2
	10.5	6.5	1.2
	11	6.5	1.2	Watch
	11.49	7.87	1.18
	11.49	7.87	1.19
	13	6.5	1.12
	11.1	6.5	1.2
	11	6.4	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.37 ↑ (8)	6.88 ↑ (5.03)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newry City
8.2%

Draw
13.5%

Cliftonville
78.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

18.3%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

17.6%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Cliftonville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cliftonville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cliftonville than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cliftonville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Newry City - Cliftonville Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Newry City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cliftonville will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mitchell C. (G) 20. Ball S. 44. Doyle B. 3. Healy N. 2. King D. (C) 4. McGivern R. 5. McKeown B. 7. O'Connor C. 38. Poynton G. 14. Salley A. 33. Scullion D.	23. Odumosu D. (G) 4. Addis J. 22. Casey O. 7. Curran Ch. 17. Doherty R. 8. Hale R. 25. Hale R. 26. Kearney S. 3. Stewart S. 24. Turner L. 27. Wilson B.
Substitutes
1. Maguire S. (G) 17. Martin A. 49. McGovern P. 18. Moan S. 36. Mooney J. 29. Newell L. 39. Owens D.	1. Gartside N. (G) 19. Gormley J. 15. Jordan R. 5. Kenny L. 28. McGuinness S. 2. Pepper C. . Wylie B.
Coaches
Boyle G.	Magilton J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newry City won 0.

Newry City is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cliftonville in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cliftonville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cliftonville is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Newry City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 6-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Newry City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newry City
Northern Irish Cup
06.01.24	Newry City - Ballinamallard United	3:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
30.12.23	Dungannon Swifts - Newry City	5:0 ✺
26.12.23	Newry City - Glenavon	0:4 ✺
22.12.23	Newry City - Carrick Rangers	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Glentoran - Newry City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Cliftonville FC
Northern Irish Cup
05.01.24	Coleraine - Cliftonville	0:3 ET ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
26.12.23	Cliftonville - Crusaders	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Cliftonville - Ballymena United	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Loughgall - Cliftonville	1:4 ✺
09.12.23	Cliftonville - Glentoran	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
11.11.23	Cliftonville - Newry City	1:0
15.08.23	Newry City - Cliftonville	0:3
25.03.23	Newry City - Cliftonville	1:2
26.11.22	Cliftonville - Newry City	2:0
Northern Irish League Cup
01.11.22	Cliftonville - Newry City	3:2
Northern Irish Premiership
01.10.22	Cliftonville - Newry City	4:0
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Cliftonville - Newry City	2:0

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