Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday


	Collado Villalba		Galapagar

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.1
	1.98	3.55	3.2
	1.97	3.48	3.22
	1.98	3.65	3.23
	1.97	3.52	3.26
	1.98	3.55	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.05)	3.5 ↑ (3.23)	3.2 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collado Villalba
45.8%

Draw
25.9%

Galapagar
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.8%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collado Villalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-1%)

Collado Villalba - Galapagar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Gil M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 7)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Collado Villalba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Collado Villalba will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Collado Villalba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Collado Villalba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Trival Valderas - Collado Villalba	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Collado Villalba - Aravaca	4:2 ✺
16.04.25	México - Collado Villalba	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Collado Villalba - Parla	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Collado Villalba	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTLL
- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.05.25	Galapagar - Cala Pozuelo	3:5 ✺
27.04.25	Galapagar - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Aravaca - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Galapagar - México	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Parla - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.01.25	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:1
03.03.24	Collado Villalba - Galapagar	1:2
15.10.23	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:2
15.01.23	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:0

Collado Villalba - Galapagar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide