The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 17.9%
Draw 22.9%
Colo-Colo 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
28.2%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
27.3%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Española's form might have worsened.
Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colo-Colo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colo-Colo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Colo-Colo (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Colo-Colo will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 16. Ormeno M. 24. Norambuena G. 5. Machado W. 18. Aja J. 17. Massri F. 3. Alarcon R. 14. Nunez I. 8. Rubio P. (C) 20. Wassenne M. 7. Vasquez R.
25. Maureira G. (G) 2. Villagra J. 21. Wiemberg E. 24. Hernandez L. 13. Fernandez M. 5. Mendez V. 23. Vidal A. (C) 6. Alarcon T. 8. Madrid A. 26. Ulloa D. 19. Romero M.
Substitutes
2. Contreras K. 33. Jaramillo C. 6. Jauregui B. 22. Nunez A. 23. Ojeda U. 25. Ovando T. 21. Pereira S. 12. Uribe E. (G) 9. Vilches Araneda A.
34. Catalan R. 30. Cuevas Y. 7. Marchant F. 20. Mendez J. 36. Moya M. 50. Raipan F. 28. Rojas J. 4. Sosa J. 12. Villanueva E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Hernandez L. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Romero M. ⚽, Hernandez L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Villagra J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
46', Nunez I. ↓, Ojeda U. ↑,
46', Vasquez R. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
46', Machado W. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
49', Ormeno M. 🟨,
50', 0 - 2, Hernandez L. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Jauregui B. 🟨,
63', 0 - 3, Romero M. ⚽, Mendez J. (A),
72', Romero M. ↓, Catalan R. ↑,
72', Hernandez L. ↓, Raipan F. ↑,
72', Alarcon T. ↓, Cuevas Y. ↑,
75', Raipan F. 🟥,
76', Rubio P. ↓, Nunez A. ↑,
82', Fernandez M. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
83', Vidal A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 0.
Unión Española has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Colo-Colo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Colo-Colo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Colo-Colo is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:42. (average 1.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.2:2).
Watch
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Fierro J. (G) 
Machado W. 
Massri F. 
Romero M. 
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