Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Rapallini F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Colo-Colo		América Mineiro

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.5	5
	1.7	3.65	5
	1.74	3.59	5.15
	1.7	3.3	4.8
	1.74	3.54	4.95	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.15)	3.54 ↑ (3.26)	4.92 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
54.4%

Draw
26.5%

América Mineiro
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colo-Colo's performance.

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América Mineiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colo-Colo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	7.4%	3.7%

Colo Colo - América Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. De Paul F. (G) 32. Opazo Lara O. 4. Saldivia A. 37. Falcon M. 18. Bouzat A. 6. Fuentes C. 5. Gil L. 8. Pavez E. (C) 24. Thompson J. 9. Pizarro D. 7. Carlos Palacios	14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 4. Wanderson 18. Cesar J. 33. Eder Ferreira 75. Rodriguinho 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 16. Ale (C) 7. Matheusinho 65. Rodrigo Varanda 17. Gonzalo Mastriani
Substitutes
22. Benegas L. 11. Bolados M. 17. Castillo F. 1. Cortes B. (G) 23. Gonzalez R. 3. Gutierrez D. 16. Lezcano D. 26. Moya M. 20. Oroz A. 34. Pizarro V. 2. Rojas J. 21. Wiemberg E.	22. Danilo Avelar 5. Emmanuel Martinez 37. Everaldo 11. Felipe Azevedo 19. Henrique Almeida 3. Iago Maidana 12. Jori (G) 8. Juninho 21. Lucas Kal 6. Marlon 1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 9. Wellington Paulista
Coaches
Quinteros G.	Mancini V.

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Colo-Colo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Colo-Colo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Cup
04.07.23	Colo-Colo - Unión La Calera	6:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.06.23	Colo-Colo - Deportivo Pereira	0:0 ✺
06.06.23	Boca Juniors - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
23.05.23	Monagas - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.05.23	Colo-Colo - Curicó Unido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WTLTL
- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
08.07.23	Coritiba - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.07.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.07.23	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.06.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.06.23	América Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTWL

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