Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Vuaden L. (Bra)


	América Mineiro		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.6
	2.25	3.1	3.4
	2.14	3.1	3.5
	2.29	3.16	3.56
	2.2	2.88	3.4
	2.23	3.14	3.44
	2.24	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.32)	3.08 ↓ (3.22)	3.45 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
42.3%

Draw
30.5%

Corinthians
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

América Mineiro - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 6. Marlon 33. Eder Ferreira 3. Iago Maidana 22. Danilo Avelar 21. Lucas Kal 8. Juninho 37. Everaldo 10. Martin Benitez 5. Emmanuel Martinez 17. Gonzalo Mastriani	12. Cassio (G) 23. Fagner 4. Carlos G. d. N. S. 34. Murillo 6. Fabio Santos 5. Fausto Vera 44. Moscardo G. 33. Ruan O. 28. Adson 10. Roger Guedes 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
16. Ale 99. Aloisio 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 18. Cesar J. 11. Felipe Azevedo 25. Marcinho 1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 7. Matheusinho 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 29. Pedrinho 4. Wanderson 9. Wellington Paulista	26. Biro 25. Bruno Mendez 14. Caetano 22. Carlos Miguel (G) 41. Felipe Augusto 20. Giuliano 30. Matheus Araujo 21. Matheus Bidu 7. Maycon 2. Rafael Ramos 29. Roni 36. Wesley
Coaches
Mancini V.	Luxemburgo V.

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches América MG won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
02.07.23	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.06.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.06.23	América Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
22.06.23	Grêmio - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLT
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
02.07.23	Corinthians - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.06.23	Corinthians - Liverpool Montevideo	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
24.06.23	Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
21.06.23	Santos - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Corinthians - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
03.06.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	2:0
18.09.22	América Mineiro - Corinthians	1:0
29.05.22	Corinthians - América Mineiro	1:1
19.09.21	Corinthians - América Mineiro	1:1
06.06.21	América Mineiro - Corinthians	0:1
Copa do Brasil
04.11.20	América Mineiro - Corinthians	1:1
28.10.20	Corinthians - América Mineiro	0:1

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