Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 12

Date: 25 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Rodrigues de Souza F. (Bra)


	América Mineiro		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.23	3.2	3.4
	2.27	3.27	3.56
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.2	3.3	3.34	Watch
	2.24	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.35)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.38 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
42.6%

Draw
29.3%

Internacional RS
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

30.1%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

31.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

América Mineiro - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Internacional will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 25. Marcinho 4. Wanderson 3. Iago Maidana 22. Danilo Avelar 21. Lucas Kal 8. Juninho 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 11. Felipe Azevedo 99. Aloisio 37. Everaldo	31. John Victor (G) 21. Igor Gomes 4. Rodrigo Moledo 22. Hernandez N. 6. Rene 40. Romulo 30. Johnny 28. Pedro Henrique 38. Jean Dias 9. Luiz Adriano 11. Wanderson
Substitutes
16. Ale 18. Cesar J. 5. Emmanuel Martinez 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 19. Henrique Almeida 6. Marlon 10. Martin Benitez 36. Mateus Henrique 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 65. Rodrigo Varanda 75. Rodriguinho 9. Wellington Paulista	10. Alan Patrick 35. Alemao 33. Baralhas 16. Bustos F. 12. Emerson Junior (G) 42. Gabriel Barros 17. Gustavo Campanharo 1. Keiller (G) 45. Lucca 41. Matheus Dias 36. Thauan Lara 44. Vitao
Coaches
Mancini V.	Mano Menezes

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

América MG has the most likely position - 19 (12.63%), project points - 40, currently - 8, a chance of relegated (47%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Internacional has the most likely position - 9 (8.2%), project points - 54, currently - 14, a small chance of relegated (8%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 2.

Recent matches América MG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Internacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

América MG will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in América MG: Adyson (Injury) Dada Belmonte (Injury) Luan Campos (Injury) Matheusinho (Injury) Mikael (Injury) Ricardo Silva (Injury)

There will not play in Internacional: Aranguiz C. (Injury) Gabriel (Injury) Mauricio (Injury) de Pena C. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches América MG won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17-22.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
22.06.23	Grêmio - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	América Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.06.23	América Mineiro - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.06.23	América Mineiro - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
31.05.23	Internacional RS - América Mineiro	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWWL
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
22.06.23	Coritiba - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.06.23	Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.06.23	Santos - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
31.05.23	Internacional RS - América Mineiro	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
31.05.23	Internacional RS - América Mineiro	3:2 penalties
17.05.23	América Mineiro - Internacional RS	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
02.11.22	América Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:0
11.07.22	Internacional RS - América Mineiro	1:0
13.10.21	Internacional RS - América Mineiro	3:1
27.06.21	América Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:1
Copa do Brasil
18.11.20	América Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:1 penalties

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