Match Info

Date: 11 March 2020, Wednesday


	Colo-Colo		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.23	Watch
	3.09	3.12	2.19
	3.15	3.37	2.32
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.14	3.3	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.83)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)	2.24 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
29.4%

Draw
28.8%

Athletico Paranaense
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

21%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colo-Colo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletico Paranaense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	4.5%	91%

Colo Colo - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 3 - 4.5%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 61 - 91%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 84.1% – 97.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
07.03.20	Deportes La Serena - Colo-Colo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.03.20	Jorge Wilstermann - Colo-Colo	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
29.02.20	Colo-Colo - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
24.02.20	Curicó Unido - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
16.02.20	Colo-Colo - Universidad Católica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTLL
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
04.03.20	Athletico Paranaense - Rio Branco PR	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.03.20	Athletico Paranaense - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
01.03.20	Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense	1:3 ✺
22.02.20	Athletico Paranaense - Cascavel	5:1 ✺
Supercopa do Brasil
16.02.20	Flamengo - Athletico Paranaense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWL

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