Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	21:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Sports 3
Belarus	03:30	Okko Sport
Brazil	21:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	20:30	ESPN Premium
Colombia	19:30	ESPN
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 3
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Mexico	18:30	Disney+
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
Peru	19:30	Disney+, ESPN
South America	—	ESPN South
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Colo-Colo		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.55
	2.2	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.52	3.16
	2.2	3.58	3.16	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.21	3.41	3.26	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.64)	3.43 ↓ (3.43)	3.01 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
41%

Draw
27.6%

Atlético Bucaramanga
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.6%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colo-Colo's performance.

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Colo Colo - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Colo-Colo (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 50%). Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. De Paul F. (G) 25. Alarcon T. 4. Saldivia A. 6. Vegas S. 22. Isla M. 34. Pizarro V. (C) 5. Mendez V. 16. Opazo Lara O. 10. Aquino C. 32. Cepeda L. 9. Correa J.	1. Quintana A. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 23. Romana C. 29. Henao C. 8. Hinestroza F. 22. Fabry (C) 28. Flores L. 70. Castaneda F. 10. Sambueza F. 7. Londono K. 27. Pons L.
Substitutes
1. Cortes B. (G) 13. Gutierrez B. 3. Gutierrez D. 24. Hernandez L. 7. Marchant F. 20. Oroz A. 8. Pavez E. 17. Riquelme C. 19. Rodriguez S. 2. Villagra J. 12. Villanueva E. (G) 14. Zavala C.	30. Cardenas S. 32. Castellanos O. (G) 15. Chavez D. 4. Garcia J. 92. Ibarguen A. 11. Jhon Vasquez 6. Jimenez M. S. 2. Mena J. 14. Mosquera J. 97. Penaranda A. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 25. Zapata C.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Alvarez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Alarcon T. 🟨,
23', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Correa J. ⚽,
33', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
38', Castaneda F. ↓, Jimenez M. S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alarcon T. ↓, Pavez E. ↑,
60', Pavez E. 🟨,
62', Sambueza F. 🟨,
67', Flores L. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
67', Sambueza F. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
71', Opazo Lara O. 🟨,
77', Mendez V. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
77', Opazo Lara O. ↓, Gutierrez B. ↑,
83', Pons L. 🟨,
85', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
86', Pizarro V. 🟨,
86', Fabry 🟨,
87', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
90+5', Chavez D. 🟨,

Preview

No spectators.

Recent form of Colo-Colo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bucaramanga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Colo-Colo: Vidal A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bucaramanga: Jimenez M. S. (Inactive) Zarate A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Colo-Colo: Bolados M. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Colo-Colo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
24.05.25	Colo-Colo - Unión Española	4:1 ✺
19.05.25	Colo-Colo - Ñublense	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.05.25	Racing - Colo-Colo	4:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
10.05.25	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.25	Fortaleza - Colo-Colo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTLLL
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.05.25	Fortaleza - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
09.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Medellín	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Racing	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Colo-Colo	3:3

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