Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Pluto TV


	Racing		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	7	Watch
	1.4	4.6	7.5
	1.41	4.7	6.9	Watch
	1.43	4.72	7.27
	1.44	4.59	7.14	Watch
	1.4	4.4	7.5	Watch
	1.45	4.66	7.29	Watch
	1.41	4.7	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	4.61 ↑ (4.48)	7.19 ↑ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
66.4%

Draw
20.5%

Colo-Colo
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

21%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

20.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Racing - Colo Colo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 50%). Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Racing (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Racing (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 3 - 75%). Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arias G. (G) 23. Colombo N. 13. Sosa S. 3. Di Cesare M. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 5. Nardoni J. 26. Sanchez R. 27. Rojas G. 28. Solari S. 41. Degregorio R. M. 9. Adrian Martinez	1. Cortes B. (G) 22. Isla M. 4. Saldivia A. 15. Amor E. 6. Vegas S. 3. Gutierrez D. 8. Pavez E. 23. Vidal A. 10. Aquino C. 32. Cepeda L. 9. Correa J.
Substitutes
32. Almendra A. E. 77. Balboa A. 16. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 24. Fernandez A. 40. Fraga F. 20. German Conti 34. Mura F. 35. Quiros S. 19. Rodriguez I. 10. Vietto L. 11. Zaracho M.	25. Alarcon T. 30. De Paul F. (G) 13. Gutierrez B. 24. Hernandez L. 7. Marchant F. 5. Mendez V. 16. Opazo Lara O. 34. Pizarro V. 17. Riquelme C. 19. Rodriguez S. 2. Villagra J. 14. Zavala C.
Coaches
Costas G.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
28', Isla M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Solari S. (A),
43', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gutierrez D. ↓, Opazo Lara O. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Solari S. ⚽,
53', Vidal A. 🟨,
56', Amor E. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
63', Vidal A. 🟨,
68', Solari S. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
68', Adrian Martinez ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
69', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
72', Colombo N. ↓, Quiros S. ↑,
78', Pavez E. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
78', Aquino C. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
79', Nardoni J. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Balboa A. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
83', Balboa A. 🟨,
89', Saldivia A. 🟨,

Preview

Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Colo-Colo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Racing is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Racing: Rojas G. (Knee Injury) Zaracho M. (Hamstring Injury) Zuculini B. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.25	Racing - Platense	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Racing	0:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Racing - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Colo-Colo - Racing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWT
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Cup
10.05.25	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.25	Fortaleza - Colo-Colo	4:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.25	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Colo-Colo - Racing	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Colo-Colo - Racing	1:1
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Colo-Colo - Racing	0:3

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