Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	21:30	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	21:30	Paramount+
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect
Chile	20:30	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	04:30	Silk Universal
Germany	02:30	Sportdigital+
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 1
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Mexico	18:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Peru	19:30	Disney+
Russia	03:30	Okko Sport
Serbia	02:30	Arena Premium 3
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, Inter


	Fortaleza		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4
	1.95	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.99	3.26	4.51
	1.96	3.22	4.37	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4	Watch
	2	3.24	4.31	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.03)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	4.24 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
48.2%

Draw
29.5%

Colo-Colo
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

30.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Fortaleza aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Fortaleza - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Fortaleza (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 9 - 75%). Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Ricardo (G) 14. Mancuso E. 39. Gustavo Mancha 13. Kuscevic B. (C) 6. Bruno Pacheco 88. Lucas Sasha 8. Emmanuel Martinez 26. Breno Lopes 20. Matheus Rossetto 11. Marinho 18. Deyverson	1. Cortes B. (G) 22. Isla M. 15. Amor E. 4. Saldivia A. 6. Vegas S. 21. Wiemberg E. 10. Aquino C. 8. Pavez E. (C) 23. Vidal A. 32. Cepeda L. 9. Correa J.
Substitutes
19. Allanzinho 77. Andrade K. 12. Brenno (G) 33. Britez E. 23. David Luiz 5. Fernandez P. 38. Lucca Prior 9. Lucero J. 7. Pochettino T. 4. Titi 22. Yago Pikachu 17. Ze Welison	25. Alarcon T. 11. Bolados M. 30. De Paul F. (G) 13. Gutierrez B. 3. Gutierrez D. 5. Mendez V. 16. Opazo Lara O. 34. Pizarro V. 17. Riquelme C. 19. Rodriguez S. 2. Villagra J. 14. Zavala C.
Coaches
Vojvoda J.	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Breno Lopes ⚽, Bruno Pacheco (A),
30', 2 - 0, Marinho ⚽, Breno Lopes (A),
32', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
39', 3 - 0, Deyverson ⚽, Marinho (A),
43', Amor E. 🟨,
45+3', Aquino C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wiemberg E. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
57', Deyverson 🟨,
59', Amor E. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
62', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,
64', Deyverson ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
65', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Pochettino T. ↑,
71', Breno Lopes ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
74', Pavez E. ↓, Mendez V. ↑,
79', Aquino C. ↓, Alarcon T. ↑,
79', Vidal A. ↓, Pizarro V. ↑,
81', Matheus Rossetto ↓, Ze Welison ↑,
81', Lucas Sasha ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
85', 4 - 0, Lucero J. ⚽, Yago Pikachu (A),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Colo-Colo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fortaleza has had a series of away games.

Recently, Colo-Colo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fortaleza is the team to beat.

There will not play in Fortaleza: Britez E. (Ankle Injury) Diogo Barbosa (Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury) Tinga (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Rodrigo (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.25	São Paulo - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	Fortaleza - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTTL
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.25	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Colo-Colo - Racing	1:1 ✺
10.04.25	Colo-Colo - Fortaleza	Abandoned ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Colo-Colo - Santiago Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWT?T

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Colo-Colo - Fortaleza	Abandoned
25.05.22	Colo-Colo - Fortaleza	3:4
07.04.22	Fortaleza - Colo-Colo	1:2

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