Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 15

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental David Arellano (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Lara J. (Chi)


	Colo-Colo		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	8	Watch
	1.31	5.5	8.25
	1.3	5.5	9	Watch
	1.31	5.75	9.4
	1.31	5.75	9.25
	1.25	5.5	8.5
	1.3	5.55	8.85	Watch
	1.3	5.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	5.56 ↑ (5.56)	8.66 ↓ (8.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo-Colo
72.3%

Draw
16.9%

Deportes Copiapó
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

17%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

16.5%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Colo-Colo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Colo Colo - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Users Predictions: Colo-Colo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cortes B. (G) 16. Opazo Lara O. 4. Saldivia A. 15. Amor E. 21. Wiemberg E. 8. Pavez E. (C) 23. Vidal A. 34. Pizarro V. 14. Zavala C. 9. Pizarro D. 7. Carlos Palacios	1. Leyton R. (G) 17. Nieto B. 8. Vargas N. 15. Garcia D. 6. Calisto F. 5. Manzano F. 23. Jaime J. (C) 10. Luna J. 11. Reynero F. 29. Quinteros M. 26. Torres F.
Substitutes
11. Bolados M. 19. Castellani G. 32. Cepeda L. 30. De Paul F. (G) 5. Gil L. 33. Gonzalez R. 29. Paiva G.	2. Cazula A. 31. Diaz I. 22. Espinoza N. (G) 20. Gonzalez Y. 7. Leonardo Pais 21. Medel de la Fuente M. 28. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A.
Coaches
Almiron J.	Basay I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Amor E. 🟨,
38', Garcia D. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Reynero F. ⚽,
45+2', Reynero F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amor E. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
68', Carlos Palacios ↓, Gil L. ↑,
68', Pizarro D. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
72', Pavez E. 🟥,
73', Reynero F. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
73', Torres F. ↓, Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. ↑,
73', Quinteros M. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
76', Wiemberg E. 🟨,
81', Saldivia A. 🟨,
82', Diaz I. 🟨,
83', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
83', Opazo Lara O. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
88', Luna J. ↓, Cazula A. ↑,
90', Calisto F. 🟨,
90+8', Calisto F. ↓, Medel de la Fuente M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B).

Colo-Colo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Copiapó is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Copiapó could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Colo-Colo have a series of guest games.

In this match Colo-Colo is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Colo-Colo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Colo-Colo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo-Colo
Copa Libertadores
29.05.24	Cerro Porteño - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.05.24	Deportes Iquique - Colo-Colo	0:3 ✺
19.05.24	Colo-Colo - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.24	Alianza Lima - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
12.05.24	Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWTW
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Primera Division
26.05.24	Deportes Copiapó - Audax Italiano	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Everton de Viña - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Deportes Copiapó - Cobreloa	4:0 ✺
03.05.24	Palestino - Deportes Copiapó	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Deportes Copiapó - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
14.09.23	Colo-Colo - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
22.01.23	Deportes Copiapó - Colo-Colo	2:5
Chilean Cup
22.10.15	Colo-Colo - Deportes Copiapó	2:2
14.10.15	Deportes Copiapó - Colo-Colo	2:3

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