Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 11

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)


	Palestino		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.75
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.58	4.2	5.78
	1.68	3.97	5.11
	1.62	3.8	4.6
	1.68	3.88	4.74	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	3.87 ↓ (4)	5 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
56.9%

Draw
24.3%

Deportes Copiapó
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

23.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

22.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Palestino - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Users Predictions: Palestino will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rigamonti C. (G) 3. Rojas B. 17. Roman I. 13. Suarez C. 28. Zuniga D. 23. Martinez Arce A. E. 8. Cornejo F. 14. Abrigo J. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 27. Marabel J. 11. Benitez J.	22. Espinoza N. (G) 2. Cazula A. 8. Vargas N. 30. Carrasco D. 17. Nieto B. 20. Gonzalez Y. 32. Soto B. 28. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 10. Luna J. (C) 29. Quinteros M. 14. Hernandez L.
Substitutes
4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 22. Chamorro F. 26. Contreras D. (G) 10. Davila Carvajal M. 5. Linares N. 24. Palacio P. 19. Vejar B.	9. Figueroa T. 18. Gaete J. 15. Garcia D. 1. Leyton R. (G) 5. Manzano F. 11. Reynero F. 26. Torres F.
Coaches
Sanchez P.	Basay I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Suarez C. ⚽,
11', Soto B. 🟨,
14', 1 - 1, Quinteros M. ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽, Benitez J. (A),
31', Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 🟨,
32', 3 - 1, Carrasco B. (Pen),
33', Abrigo J. 🟨,
34', Vargas N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Soto B. ↓, Manzano F. ↑,
46', Cazula A. ↓, Gaete J. ↑,
46', Vargas N. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
46', Hernandez L. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
62', Abrigo J. ↓, Davila Carvajal M. ↑,
66', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
70', Torres F. 🟨,
73', Cornejo F. ↓, Chamorro F. ↑,
73', Marabel J. ↓, Linares N. ↑,
74', Benitez J. 🟨,
78', Cazula A. 🟨,
82', Benitez J. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
82', Carrasco B. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
83', Nieto B. 🟨,
86', Palacio P. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B).

Palestino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Copiapó is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palestino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Palestino is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Palestino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
28.04.24	Deportes Iquique - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.04.24	Palestino - Millonarios	3:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.04.24	Palestino - Universidad de Chile	2:2 ✺
17.04.24	Palestino - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Ñublense - Palestino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTWW
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Primera Division
27.04.24	Deportes Copiapó - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Unión Española - Deportes Copiapó	5:3 ✺
15.04.24	Cobresal - Deportes Copiapó	3:0 ✺
06.04.24	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Iquique	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Deportes Copiapó - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
30.07.23	Palestino - Deportes Copiapó	2:0
10.02.23	Deportes Copiapó - Palestino	1:3

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